Peter

Princess Ellen wrote: Now, the warming specifically of the Arctic might be cause for worry.

And the Antarctic just reached 65 degrees F just above the ice. What if Canadas’s grain belt extended hundreds of miles further north? Moderate warming is good. This is dedicated to our beloved neighbor, Canada. We are best friends. Peter

In the early mornin' rain
With a dollar in my hand
And an aching in my heart
And my -pockets full of sand
I'm a long ways from home
And I missed my loved one so
In the early mornin' rain
With no place to go

Out on runway number nine
Big 707 set to go
Well I'm out here on the grass
Where the pavement never grows
Where the liquor tasted good
And the women all were fast
There she goes my friend
She's rolling out at last

Hear the mighty engines roar
See the silver wing on high
She's away and westward bound
For above the clouds she flies
Where the mornin' rain don't fall
And the sun always shines
She'll be flying over my home
In about three hours time

This ol' airport's got me down
It's no earthly good to me
'Cause I'm stuck here on the ground
Cold and drunk as I might be
Can't jump a jet plane
Like you can a freight train
So I best be on my way
In the early mornin' rain
So I best be on my way
In the early mornin' rain
So I best be on my way
In the early mornin' rain. Songwriter: GORDON LIGHTFOOT

Oh. I heard they are going to use a concoction of HIV serum and flu shots to help stem the coronavisus. I hope it works.

2 hours ago, Michael Stuart Kelly said:

Only gods like themselves with their non-human perception can save the world.

My thinking exactly, Michael.

Brad wrote: Humans perception isn't the best tool to pick up a signal like climate change that occurs so gradually, relative to our lifespans.

Too bad we don’t have climate glasses to enhance our vision of yesterday, today, and tomorrow. I am not discounting “weather history,” just conclusions that conflate a political agenda with science. It has been going on since the 1970’s: how to destroy Capitalism and set up a Bloomberg (or Gloomberg) nanny or totalitarian state? After all “the deep state” knows best and they will lead you to a better tomorrow.

I remember when it was hotter. I remember when it was colder. I can read books and evaluate data. My point, is that geological records estimating climate change throughout the ages excluded mankind because we weren’t here yet, as Brad mentioned above, but the climate changed anyway, with or without us. Our contributions are significant locally but not worldwide. I am thinking of LA or Chinese big city smog which is better without higher emission cars.  

Lately they have been tying tree cutting, to rainforest deforestation in the Amazon, which could lead to a lack of oxygen in the atmosphere.  I just stepped outside to feed the birds and it was drizzling. The air was pure and sweet. That means the planet humans evolved on is much the same today as it was 100,000 years ago.

And we are observing the effects of population density in China, where the weak and elderly are being culled from the herd, which sounds horrible, but it is happening. Pollution. Contaminated water and trash-filled, land. Pennsylvanian, Amish cows are polluting the Chesapeake Bay but they are working to stop direct runoff up there. I am not against that. But I am against the initiation of force and coercion to push a political agenda. Say “Amen!” brothers and sisters.        

Brad wrote: 14 of 17 climate models published between 1970 and 2001 accurately projected future warming.

I seem to remember that around 1969 or 1970 in California, global cooling was the big worry. I will take a look at those studies when I have time. At the Junior College I was attending then, the science prof's, (some sort of geology, Political geology?) predicted global cooling. I have also mentioned many times how some friends of the family have a beach house in Fenwick, Delaware next to the water and it looks the same now as it did back in around 1966. Same distance from the ocean. Same need to occasionally replenish the dunes. House not flooded. My in-laws have a home in West Ocean City on the water and I do see that some marsh has turned into just water, but on the other side of the road away from the water there is a marsh that has now filled in to a great degree. My point is let your own eyes be the tools of detection.

Old timers used to say we needed winters to kill the germs. 

London and LA smog. Dust bowls created by over-farming and then a lack of cover crops in the winter. Heat island effect from concrete and steel. Coughing from the neighbor's barbeque. Those are affects from humans on earth. Oh. And cow farts. Uh, we raise too many cows. 

17 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

Perhaps you don’t remember all of that because you were like twelve at the time? Well, we remember it,

Dream sequence. The year is 1920 and your great, great, great grandparents buy five acres of the highest ground in in Key West. They then raise the land with stabilizing rods and several hundred dump truck loads of dirt. Soon you have a hill shaped to withstand erosion and any hurricane they may ever come along. Now it is worth a lot of money but then Al Gore starts saying "We are doomed because of man-made global warming" and the land's value plummets" . . . Heck, I think I would still be confident enough to go live there myself. Even by the worst predictions of the alarmist, I would still have 500 years to go before the land is threatened . . . though maybe I could only travel to and from the mainland by boat, like Harry and Meghan on Vancouver Island. Peter      

I saw two ladies on the Weather Channel discussing the groundhog’s emergence tomorrow. I think they said it will be rainy in Puxatawny.  And they said it was all humbug thinking a groundhog could have anything to do with the climate. Say? Maybe the groundhog should be named Al Gore . . . or William.

Here on Delmarva we will be in the high fifties to sixties for the next week. Our weatherman, Paul Satterfield, said he thinks winter is over here, but don’t quote him on it. Tonight we have drizzling rain and it is 41 degrees at around midnight. That was brave of Paul because some of our worst snowstorms have been in February. There are several establishment that have palm trees and in spite of a very warm winter all the palms have died.   

8 hours ago, william.scherk said:

Vancouver, British Columbia is a major film, television and digital media production centre.  Meghan could be in the studio after a half-hour seaplane ride from the private residence ...

Thank you William. I did not know that. I think my neighbors would give the Royals some space too. It would be kind of cool to be out jogging or walking and coming from the other direction are Harry with his wife and little Archie in a jogging buggy. Some more “Canadian questions?” Do you think of yourself as British in some ways? If you saw Queen Elizabeth in person would you think of her as your monarch? I know that sounds weird but I suppose I would be tongue tied if President Trump knocked on my door and asked to use the bathroom. Aye Capitan! Peter  

Notes. “As gross as ignorance made drunk.” William Shakespeare, in “Othello.”  Was The Bard thinking of Le Cockroach or Representative Adam Shitt? *(inside joke)

Curious, William, I looked on the net for Vancouver Island’s climate. It rarely goes below 32 degrees F. or above 66. Peter

Today. January Climate & Weather Averages in Vancouver Island. High Temp: 47 °F Low Temp: 37 °F Mean Temp: 42 °F Precipitation: 12.26" Humidity: 90% Dew Point: 39 °F Wind: 6 mph Pressure: 29.99 "Hg Visibility: 10 mi

Little Archie will need a jacket. It seems like a decent place to live. But I would miss warmer summers. It's 41 here on Delmarva. I went outside to throw the birds some seed on our concrete driveway and I was not wearing shows but it didn't bother me  . . .  much.

From a Canadian perspective, how do you consider the royal migration to Vancouver Island? Do you think it will be where they will safely stay?

Jonathan observed: The way that modern "science" works is that you make extreme and scary predictions based on your hypothesis, and then, when they don't come true, you do not conclude that your hypothesis has been falsified, but that new predictions, which are even scarier, need to be made and publicly promoted as being logically justified following the failure of the last predictions. end quote

Wow. We have a real Karl Popper in our midst. Good thinking Jonathan! Hypothesis fails scrutiny so you up the ante and say, I was just a wee bit wrong, because obviously the evidence says even worse is going to happen. Two not so long quotes and then I shall reenter the conversation.  

Karl Popper wrote: . . . .To this we have to add (3) the principle of empiricism which asserts that in science only observation and experiment may decide upon the acceptance or rejection of scientific statements, including laws and theories . . . . What is the justification for the belief that the future will resemble the past? What is the justification of so-called inductive inferences? By an inductive inference is here meant an inference from repeatedly observed instances to some as yet unobserved instances. It is of comparatively minor significance whether such an inference from the observed to the unobserved is, from the point of view of time, predictive or retro-dictive; whether we infer that the sun will rise tomorrow or that it did rise 100,000 years ago. Of course, from a pragmatic point of view, one might say that it is the predictive type of inference which is the more important. No doubt usually it is. end quote

From “The Universe in a Nutshell,” by Stephen Hawking: “Any sound scientific theory, whether of time or any other concept, should in my opinion be based on the most workable philosophy of science: the positivist approach put forward by Karl Popper and others. According to this way of thinking, a scientific theory is a mathematical model that describes and codifies the observations we make. A good theory will describe a large range of phenomena on the basis of a few simple postulates and will make definite predictions that can be tested. If the predictions agree with the observations, the theory survives that test, though it can never be proven to be correct. On the other hand, if the observations disagree with the predictions, one has to discard or modify the theory.  (At least, that is supposed to happen. In practice, people often question the accuracy of the observations and the reliability and moral character of those making the observations.)  If one takes the positivist position, as I do, one cannot say what time actually is. All one can do is describe what has been found to be a very good mathematical model for time and say what predictions it makes.” end quote

Back to me. Can the previous quotes about induction, science, and time also pertain to political theories and predictions? I think politics, which is a part of philosophy, should be based on as few postulates as needed and no more. And a political theory should be amendable to our current level of knowledge. But the basic premises cannot change. An example is, The Bill of Rights is the basis for long term existence of The Constitution of the United States. Only if current political thinking and action are in sync with the Constitution is it likely, probable, or certain to work and not be nullified by the Supreme Court or by failure. Sorry if that is jumbled. It’s late. Peter

1 hour ago, Jonathan said:

Billy, is there anything that you wouldn't be eager to believe was caused by global warming? Anthying at all? There must be something where you'd think that people were just being silly in assigning it to global warming. No?

They have no shame. Do any of them ever explain their mistake and how they now have new data which predicts . . . . 

Al Gore has said his last words because in 2020 we will all die.

Merry Christmas William, and to everyone on OL It is a good night.

Egg roll? I want sweet and sour pork and pork fried rice too.

I remember BB was not happy with my little joke that spelled "the jews" as "the juice." Joos is a similar misspelling. I think one of the funniest fictional names ever is "Henny Penny." Is that from some children's story? I forget. Ms Money Penny, are you free tonight? Sorry James. I am watching you right now in "Indiana Jones and The Last Crusade." You look older.  

Don't build near the water if ice shelves are "calving" at a higher rate. Venice's fame as a city is based on its waterways as is well known. My in-laws house is built on a hill from an old golf course and it is right next to the water, with a pier and boat house. In front of their house the road frequently floods, maybe 3 times a year, but the house is probably higher than mine, miles inland. One daughters house is 9 feet above and the other's is 40 feet above, while I am 14 feet above the highest tides. I am not worried but I am still glad my house is 3 cinder blocks above that 14 foot mark. Peter   

I don't like coming to your site. It is cumbersome and unneeded. I think many of us disagree with your views and do not wish to benefit those views. Post on the regular site, William. Peter

8 minutes ago, william.scherk said:

Did y'all read Taylor's statement?

No. What did I say?

12 minutes ago, william.scherk said:

While Elizabeth II is Queen of Canada, our Governor-General is Head of State, and her signature gives "Royal Assent" ... in other words, with her signature Canadian bills become law. She is our figurehead 'president.'

Julie Payette is her name, and she is a former astronaut.

.

 

Damn. That is cool. She and President Trump should be friends. It is pouring rain here with a low tonight in the mid fifties, with another quarter inch of rain to come. What's it like in BC?

Governor-General Astronaut? Is that a nickname like Astro Boy? Sorry, I haven't been following B.C. politics. It sounds too much like British melodrama and more complicated than our Electoral College. Still if I were in Canada, I would, "Go West Young Man!"  Peter

I just glanced at William’s article but I did read about this phenomenon several years ago. Repressed memories do exist but the therapy to retrieve them leads to false memories being easily “created.” It must be researched and studied more so “suggestions” are not implanted into children’s and adult’s brains. After the “false suggestion of a memory” is implanted the human subject will embroider upon it creating a false and sometimes destructive narrative about things that never happened. That sounds like brainwashing and the novel, “1984.”

2 minutes ago, william.scherk said:

Perhaps. It's also used the other way, Peter -- Queen Victoria's spouse was styled Prince Consort -- and more recently, Prince Phillip, Duke of Edinburgh.  In any case, only one person shows up to work as the monarch -- playing the constitutional role assigned by law and custom. There is no consortium, so to speak. 

 

I hope that PBS shows some more "Victoria's," though Albert died young. Bad joke. Perhaps Queen Kate (or consort) will be allowed "on top" more often in the royal bed chambers. I could picture that. I can't stop picturing that.

Thanks for the info. Will those grandkids, next in line, be similarly labelled? Consort sounds a bit tart-ish to an American. Sort of like concubine.