william.scherk

Indeed. Bellingcat's path to tracking Russia's invasion of Ukraine WWW.CBSNEWS.COM The online data detective team first gained prominence after its investigation of the Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 shootdown. Towards a Taxonomy of Evil Bellingcat Audio by Blakify.

The magistrate judge Reinhart filed a ruling today. It sounds to me like he is not going to side with the government. Some punditry is speculating wildly, so reading the ruling itself can probably guard against confirmation bias.

All Polls are Wrong, and some are wrong in interesting ways. This NBCNews survey seems to back up some of Tucker Carlson's recent programming -- that the Democrats are (at least temporarily) showing more 'get up and go' recently -- potentially driven by a combination of issues which have inflamed discourse. Eg, abortion "rights" and "American democracy" herself. To my eyes, the Democratic energy still gives way to GOP energy looking ahead to the elections on November 8 2022. It all depends on the framing, says A Truism. NBC News poll: 57% of voters say investigations into Trump should continue GROUND.NEWS 57% of registered voters would like investigations into former President Donald Trump to continue, according to a new poll. 92% of Democrats were on board with investigations continuing, while 61% of... Full soundings: https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/22156173/220455-nbc-news-august-poll-82122-release.pdf

Allen Weisselberg, Trump Org financial officer, was indicted back in June of 2021, noted here on OL: So at least one person will be tied to the stake finally. What effect would a charge against the Trump organization have on its finances going forward, if any? The org seems to be facing tax fraud (in the matter of real-estate valuations) and the inaugural committee seems to be facing corrupt self-dealing (in that they had inaugural events paid for by donation, but profits skimmed by the location hosts) ... The only thing I heard that seems half as likely as not is that lenders may jettison contracts with a business under indictment. If the various banksters holding varied debts/mortgages/loans pull the plug on some Trump world contracts, what then? Weisselberg pleaded guilty to 15 felony tax fraud charges. From today's vantage it looks like I was asking the wrong questions in 2021 -- or rather presuming financial consequences contigent on this indictment. Today, the possible wrongly-posed or loaded questions that arises in my mind is "What now?" and "What next?" ... while various pundits are examining details to determine if Weisselberg has agreed to testify in any other Trump Org finance proceedings in and out of New York City. Half of these sources answer yes. Longtime Trump executive Weisselberg pleads guilty in tax fraud scheme GROUND.NEWS Former Trump Organization CFO Allen Weisselberg on Thursday plead guilty to tax violations and admitted to helping run a years-long tax fraud scheme at the former president’s business.

The film "[S]election Code" was broadcast in the final hours of Day 1 at the Summit.** Here is the introduction by Tina Peters and the full footage shown, via RSBN on Rumble. SELECTION CODE: The Movie RUMBLE.COM Support Mike Lindell and RSBN by going to https://www.mypillow.com and use the promo code RSBN for up to 66% off your order! Was 2020 stolen? It’s deeper than that. You’ve heard it said “Those who vot Day 2 is being streamed from a variety of accounts. Some are segments or cuts and stream-through "watch parties," and contain commentary by hosts (like Steve Bannon). Here's the RSBN livestream: LIVE: The Moment of Truth Summit by Mike Lindell in Springfield MO 8-21-2022 - DAY TWO RUMBLE.COM This historic two day event will take a further deep dive into the corruption of the 2020 election. Mike Lindell, CEO of My Pillow, will provide an update on each state plus "the machines" are put to ________________ ** - I could be wrong, but I think the film is not yet completely finished, since what was broadcast is roughly an hour long, and also since Lindell seemed to indicated "more to come" while chatting with the director/producer. If you are a fan of stalwart Garland Favorito, he's up right now. The best aspect of this summit for me and the Internet Sleuths I mob around with is the state-by-state presentations with plentiful "slide decks" ... both skeptics and truth-seekers will have lots to investigate given the visuals. The production for this event blows "The Pit" out of the water, IMO -- especially the A-Z review of states. Except perhaps in that there is rarely/never any distribution of documentation. Neither one delivers. [subject to some edits today.]

Point the MAGA people to the pertinent details on the cover page of the appication. Will there be a motion filed today by Trump's lawyers? Bobb and Habba have been useless so far.

The Moment of Truth live, via Rumble. Also being streamed through Frankspeech.com.

It will be next Thursday before Judge Reinhart Diepsteht sees what the "proposed government redactions" will look like. Whatever is released, it will be scrubbed of information that could wreck whatever the fuck the DOJ is doing with their investigation -- in terms of informants and of course much of the narrative ("XXXXXXXX spoke to XXXXXump about the need for XXXXXsecrecy"). Even Tom Fitton agrees to redactions that protect witnesses or avoid compromising the ongoing inquiry. Redacting witness names will be bad news for players of Mole, Turncoat, Tinker, Tailor. Who squealed on the Don? I'll be spending the week on Who's the Rat, weighing speculation on whether a lowly staffer 'blew the whistle' ... The cover page of the application+affidavit has been unsealed as of this afternoon. Image via docket-watcher on Twitter. Links to this and the other trifles unsealed today in the tweet below. All in all I am feeling kind of wistful. See also this Wall Street Journal story, with extensive quotes from the judge and some of the interested parties, including Trump spokesman Budovich. Judge Says He Will Unseal Parts of Affidavit That Led to Search of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago WWW.WSJ.COM Justice Department has a week to propose which portions of document should remain secret

Mike Lindell's premiere of his new film [S]eletion is but a couple days away. Another offering (this time a kind of Bride of the Son of Frankspeechenstein¹) is also on the horizon for August 20. This live event is getting some promotion from the man of the moment, Donald Trump. https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/108840917563399656 1. Mike's Cyber-Symposium on election fraud took place August 12-14 2021. Observations of a skeptical attendee: Security Nation: Rob Graham on Mike Lindell's Cyber Symposium | Rapid7 Blog WWW.RAPID7.COM In this episode of Security Nation, Jen and Tod chat with Rob Graham of Errata Security about his experience attending Mike Lindell's Cyber Symposium. Earlier, from Michael's diligence, links to watch three Mike Lindell films: Absolute Proof, Absolute Evidence, Absolutely 9-0 (there's also Absolute Interference, according to Wikipedia).

Redact!

I did not guess that the magistrate would allow publication of the "affidavit," but there you go. Judge Orders Justice Dept. to Redact and Release Version of Affidavit Used to Search Trump’s Home Judge Orders Justice Dept. to Redact and Release Version of Affidavit Used to Search Trump’s Home - The New York Times WWW.NYTIMES.COM The hearing emerged from an effort last week by a coalition of news organizations to unseal...

I often feel like a beginner ... Here's a challenging set of assumptions and presumptions, wrapped up in an image. From a blog series at the old Slate Star Codex (the author since shifted operations to Substack). The entry at the old blog is called "Varieties of Argument Experience."

Her definition, her psychological insight, her relating narcissism to a model cult formation, I put a short cut from the beginning into a Substack podcast. Substack has just added more excellence to its platform. You can now dictate directly and add multiple audio embeds within a single post. And each embed is playable within the tweet containing the Substack link. I will try out that new function to see if I understand it.

The central new web address of the True the Vote duo is called Open dot Ink. https://open.ink I cut about ten minutes out of the presentation where Gregg and Catherine give the lowdown on 2000 Mules and The Pit. True the Vote Gregg Phillips and Catherine Engelbrecht "The Pit" Excerpt RUMBLE.COM An extract from True the Vote at their Arizona presentation of "The Pit." More links to come ..

FoxNews Digital announces an exclusive interview with Donald Trump. A few quotes are in this article. Trump 'will do whatever' he can to 'help the country' after FBI raid: 'Temperature has to be brought down' WWW.FOXNEWS.COM EXCLUSIVE: Former President Trump said he “will do whatever” he can “to help the country,” after the FBI’s raid of his Mar-a-Lago home last week.

It's a reasonable point -- it's arguable at least. But that brings up the mystery of "the data the documentary is based on." Gregg Phillips has promised "The Pit," which is a place and an event where he will be sharing data from True the Vote. This has something to do with pulling a ripcord. Yesterday was the The Pit, and some of the 'internet sleuths' I hang out with on the Mules file have had some commentary. I won't add that unless asked, as the discussion space over the data promised is very large and contested. Here is a link to a Rumble page that hosted a fourteen-hour long live feed of the venue that participants gathered at. The public part of the day-long event has been chopped up into various lengths (and I found them using "the pit rsbn" as the search term to find the two below). The longest excerpt is four plus hours, which tracks with what I was covering. The first excerpt opens with Christina Bobb, the Trump lawyer at Mar-a-lago during the FBI search and seizure. LIVE: ‘The Pit’ A Vital Strategy Session presented by True The Vote 8/13/22 RUMBLE.COM Note: Full event will be uploaded once we receive permission from the event host to air in it's entirety. From the producers of ‘2000 Mules’ brings us ‘The Pit’, an informative strategy session that l This is six minutes rather than six hours, where Catherine Engelbrecht and Gregg Phillips give a preview and explain what is going to be happening. LIVE: ‘The Pit’ A Vital Strategy Session presented by True The Vote 8/13/22 RUMBLE.COM Note: Full event will be uploaded once we receive permission from the event host to air in it's entirety. From the producers of ‘2000 Mules’ brings us ‘The Pit’, an informative strategy session that l Of note are several websites, projects, public-participation reporting pages and so on that were unveiled at the event. I'll get back here and post that later today. The room where it happened, shortly before the event stream stopped. -- found in passing while checking a link at the Wikipedia page on the film "2000 Mules."

Roy Moore topic thread branch: From NewsMax: The lawsuit centered on one TV commercial that recounted accusations against Moore. Moore's attorneys argued the ad, through the juxtaposition of statements, falsely claimed he solicited sex from young girls at a shopping mall, including another 14-year-old who was working as a Santa's helper, and that resulted in him being banned from the mall. The advertisement began with: “What do people who know Roy Moore say?” It followed with the statements “Moore was actually banned from the Gadsden mall ... for soliciting sex from young girls” and “One he approached was 14 and working as Santa’s helper.” Wendy Miller has previously testified that she met Moore when she was 14 and working as a Santa’s helper at the local mall. She testified Moore told her she was pretty, asked her where she went to high school and offered to buy her a soda. He asked her asked her out two years later, but her mother told her she could not go. Moore’s attorneys argued the juxtaposition of statements in the ad painted Moore in a false light and falsely made it look like he was soliciting sex from girls at the mall. “In their ad they strung quotes together to make a single statement. That’s what the jury found offensive. They got up and lied and said they didn’t intend that,” Jeffrey Scott Wittenbrink, an attorney for Moore, said. The Senate Majority PAC had argued the ad was substantially true and that there were widespread reports about Moore’s inappropriate behavior at the mall. An attorney said they planned to appeal. According to a Thursday court filing from Senate Majority, a Gadsden police officer who worked as security at the Gadsden Mall in the late 1970s — J.D. Thomas — testified that he told Moore not to return to the mall after receiving complaints from store managers that Moore was asking out teen employees or making them uncomfortable. Moore maintained he was never banned from the mall. “No amount of deflection or distraction from Roy Moore will change the fact that multiple individuals testified under oath to corroborate credible accusations against him. Many others have come forward to make their allegations public, at serious personal cost. We do not think this verdict is the right decision, but we believe the facts are clear and this ruling will be overturned on appeal," Stafford, an attorney representing Senate Majority PAC, said in an emailed statement. "Big setback for Pedogate yesterday. France got a pedophile as it's first lady."

This was quite wrong, in two or three ways. Setting up the question to invite a plumbing of Donald Trump's mind is arguably okay. But then using an "everyone knows" gambit loads the dice. Gratuitous. Fail. Marks docked for not anticipating that the magistrate would need to deal with a DOJ motion to unseal the warrant and return document (inventory). If I had, if I had then correctly guessed that Trump would not send an objection to the motion by deadline, and that the judge was persuaded by the public interest argument, C. I did not foresee the Attorney-General coming out of his mole run. I'd assumed that a rare talker before microphones was a never talker. It all adds up to fail. The key element of hubris: presumption. Next time simply ask an open-ended question ("What do you all think might happen?") and not a loaded or leading question. In retrospect, my failed mind-read of Trump should stand as a warning. Thus chastised, he read on ... Using more of this quasi-neutral register when speculating or in ignorance, recommended. Wild, snide, haughty, exuberant or otherwise pointed rhetoric can be used, but not as a glossing over. It's okay to not have an immediate opinion. Typed with one digit on my mobile phone. Thank you for coming to my Dialectic notes to self. Cruelty-free snacks in the lobby.

Full text (7 pages) of documents unsealed Friday afternoon: https://wsscherk.com/VIDEOCASTS/A76KF/studio/gov.uscourts.flsd.617854.17.0_10.pdf Embed screen captures:

And then some. Prepare for every pundit on Earth to have at 'er. Spintastics!

One thing leads to another ...