Its Super Tuesday - They're Off - Make Your Picks...

[Selene]

SUPER TUESDAY: THE STATES

Alaska (caucus)

Delegates at stake: 24

Polls close: 12:00 am ET

Open/closed primary: Closed

Early voting: n/a

Delegate allocation: Proportional per statewide vote

Georgia (primary)

Delegates at stake: 76

Polls close: 7:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Open (no party registration; registered

voters may vote in either party’s primary).

Early voting: In person, no excuse absentee voting,

Feb. 13 – Mar. 2

Delegate allocation:

CD delegates (42). Proportional per CD vote; WTA if

candidate receives majority of vote

AL delegates (31). Proportional per statewide vote

(20% threshold)

RNC delegates (3). WTA per statewide vote

Idaho (caucus)

Delegates at stake: 32

Polls close: 10:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Closed; same-day registration available

Early voting: n/a

Delegate allocation: Proportional; WTA within each

county per county caucus votes

Massachusetts (primary)

Delegates at stake: 38

Polls close: 8:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Semi-open (registered party members and

unenrolled voters may vote)

Early voting: No; absentee with excuse

Delegate allocation: Proportional per statewide vote

(15% threshold)

North Dakota (caucus)

Delegates at stake: 28

Polls close: 7:30 pm ET

Open/closed: Closed; same-day registration available

Early voting: n/a

Delegate allocation: North Dakota’s actual delegates

will be elected at the party’s State Convention (Mar.

30 to Apr. 1). The individuals elected are not

technically bound, but they will convene before the

Republican National Convention and voluntarily

apportion their votes to reflect the poll results of the

Mar. 6 presidential caucuses.

Ohio (primary)

Delegates at stake: 63

Polls close: 7:30 pm ET

Open/closed: Open (No party registration; registered

voters may vote in either party’s primary)

Early voting: In-person, no-excuse absentee voting

Jan. 31 – Mar. 2

Delegate allocation:

CD delegates (48). WTA per CD vote

AL delegates (15). Proportional per statewide vote

(20% threshold).

Note: Rick

Oklahoma (primary)

Delegates at stake: 40

Polls close: 8:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Closed (registered party members only)

Early voting: In person, no-excuse absentee voting

Mar. 2 (Fri), Mar. 3 (Sat), Mar. 5 (Mon)

Delegate allocation:

CD delegates (15). Proportional per CD vote (15%

threshold); WTA with majority

AL delegates (25).Proportional per statewide vote

(15% threshold); WTA with majority

Tennessee (primary)

Delegates at stake: 55

Polls close: 8:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Open (registered voters may vote in

either party’s primary)

Early voting: Feb. 15 – Feb. 28

Delegate allocation:

CD delegates (27). Proportional per CD vote (20%

threshold); WTA with more than 66%

AL delegates (28). Proportional per statewide vote

(20% threshold)

Vermont (primary)

Delegates at stake: 17

Polls close: 7:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Open (No party registration; registered

voters may vote in either party’s primary)

Early voting: Jan. 21 – Mar. 5

Delegate allocation:

CD delegates (3). WTA per statewide vote

AL delegates (11) and RNC delegates (3). Proportional

per statewide vote (20% threshold)

Virginia (primary)

Delegates at stake: 46

Polls close: 7:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Open (No party registration;

registered voters may vote in either party’s

primary)

Early voting: No; absentee with excuse.

Delegate allocation:

CD delegates (33). WTA per CD vote.

AL delegates (13). Proportional per statewide vote

(15% threshold); WTA with majority.

Note: Mitt Romney and Ron Paul are the only

candidates on the ballot in Virginia.

Wyoming (caucus)

Delegates at stake: 5

Polls close: 9:00 pm ET

Open/closed: Closed

Early voting: n/a

Delegate allocation: Wyoming directly elects 26 of its

delegates, who state their preferred candidate when

running, at county conventions and the party’s state

convention. The state party will announce five of

these delegates on Mar. 6 along with which candidate

they support.

[Selene]

Virginia

Romney 64%

Dr. Paul 36%

Strategic voting should be for Dr. Paul by the Gingrich and Santorum folks, if they decide to vote. No write ins permitted which is incredibly stupid by the Virginia Republican Party.

If not Romney should get over 70%...

[GALTGULCH8]

Actual flesh and blood delegates are chosen by registered Republicans at a meeting in each congressional district e.g. in MA the meeting will be on April 28th in each of the nine districts. The delegates will go to Tampa and be bound to vote there for Romney or Santorum or Gingrich or Paul, assuming they all remain in the race. That would make it difficult for Romney to get the 1144 votes he needs.

So on the second ballot, unbound delegates may vote for their own choice. The trick will be for empassioned Ron Paul supporters to become selected to be delegates at the meetings where delegates are chosen. If enough of them can succeed in that election process, by getting others to come and vote for them, there is a chance that they can get Ron Paul to be the nominee!

[Selene]

Actual flesh and blood delegates are chosen by registered Republicans at a meeting in each congressional district e.g. in MA the meeting will be on April 28th in each of the nine districts. The delegates will go to Tampa and be bound to vote there for Romney or Santorum or Gingrich or Paul, assuming they all remain in the race. That would make it difficult for Romney to get the 1144 votes he needs.

So on the second ballot, unbound delegates may vote for their own choice. The trick will be for empassioned Ron Paul supporters to become selected to be delegates at the meetings where delegates are chosen. If enough of them can succeed in that election process, by getting others to come and vote for them, there is a chance that they can get Ron Paul to be the nominee!

I told you Gulch...this is at least a sensible political strategy...

Did you vote today? Were the polls crowded?

Adam

[Robert Campbell]

No predictions. I hope these won't be as depressing as the previous Republican primaries and caucuses mostly have been.

Robert Campbell

[Selene]

OHIO Santorum 35%

Romney 34%

Gingrich 18%

Dr. Paul 13%

================================

ALASKA Dr. Paul 35%

Romney 30%

Santorum 22%

Gingrich 13%

================================

GEORGIA Gingrich 48%

Romney 27%

Santorum 18%

Dr. Paul 07%

===============================

MASS Romney 63%

Santorum 22%

Dr. Paul 10%

Gingrich 05%

==============================

IDAHO Romney 48%

Dr. Paul 24%

Santorum 16%

Gingrich 12%

==============================

N. DAKOTA Santorum 34%

Romney 32%

Dr. Paul 22%

Gingrich 12%

=============================

TENNESSEE Santorum 33%

Romney 31%

Gingrich 28%

Dr. Paul 08%

=============================

OKLAHOMA Santorum 39%

Romney 28%

Gingrich 23%

Dr. Paul 10%

=============================

VIRGINIA Romney 64%

Dr. Paul 36%

=============================

VERMONT Romney 46%

Santorum 29%

Dr. Paul 19%

Gingrich 06%

============================

[Selene]

Gingrich is the winner in Georgia - no surprise...

Romney in Virginia, but Dr. Paul is a strong second place and is doing very very well.

Romney in Vermont, but Dr. Paul and Santorum are dead tied for second and right behind Romney.

Romney in Mass. - no surprise

Santorum in Oklahoma - no surprise

Santorum in Tennessee - this is a big victory for him.

Ohio is a real dead heat - with 11% reporting - Santorum is up by a mere 790 votes out of 229,000 +

[Selene]

Romney had a disastrous night.

His squeaker victory in Ohio, where he outspent Santorum somewhere between twelve (12) to fifteen (15) to one (1), continues to raise the specter of:

1) his inability to appeal to sixty (60%) to seventy (70%) percent of the Republican base. In Ohio, he had to rely on the Cleveland Republican machine to barely drag him across the finish line. In Virginia, with only Dr. Paul on the ballot, he garnered barely sixty (60%) per cent. Losing Tennessee was crushing because it is a pivotal swing state;

2) the electability issue continues to grow larger and larger. He did not break 50% except in Massachusetts, Wyoming and Idaho. Virginia does not count. This means that he only truly won only three (3) out of eleven (11) states against an incredibly weak field where he had the entire party organization behind him in a freakin primary!!!! And, he had an immense money advantage. He should have had an organizational advantage in the ground game also; and

3) he continues to make verbal blunder after verbal blunder. Hell he is heading into the South and he actually said that he knows a lot of NASCAR OWNERS!!!! Idiot. The voters know the drivers!

Pitiful performance. This looks like it is going to the convention.

Sarah Palin made big news tonight by saying she might offer herself as a candidate to a brokered convention!

Adam

[caroljane]

Romney had a disastrous night.

3) he continues to make verbal blunder after verbal blunder. Hell he is heading into the South and he actually said that he knows a lot of NASCAR OWNERS!!!! Idiot. The voters know the drivers!

Pitiful performance. This looks like it is going to the convention.

Sarah Palin made big news tonight by saying she might offer herself as a candidate to a brokered convention!

Adam

LOL. More voters also know the mechanics who work on the cars.

I don't think Palin would put herself through another campaign nor would the party want her to. But every candidate will be courting the hell out of her for support.

This wacky race plus the Rush story is turning me, like wss, into a GOP news junkie. Please do not tell on me or my citizenship will be revoked.

Does a brokered convention mean that the goodlooking prospects like Rubio could be drafted to run? That would make for an exciting convention.

[Selene]

This wacky race plus the Rush story is turning me, like wss, into a GOP news junkie. Please do not tell on me or my citizenship will be revoked.

Does a brokered convention mean that the good-looking prospects like Rubio could be drafted to run? That would make for an exciting convention.

Carol:

The semantic of a "brokered" convention is a throwback phraseology. I prefer the semantic of an "open convention."

Jeb Bush would be a possibility.

Rubio is a possibility, but will be attacked because of his birth issue and he is not quite ripe yet. He will be more effective in the Senate.

There is a good long list that would be possible choices, Palin, Christie, Daniels, Pawlenty and many more.

Adam