MereMortal

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Posts posted by MereMortal

  1. 55 minutes ago, BaalChatzaf said:

    If The Donald runs against The Hillary, I think most likely, Trump will lose.   However some good may come of it.  The folks currently running the Republican Party will realized that even their base  does not love them anymore.  The next election will be the choosing of the least despicable alternative.  Hardly anyone will be  proud of the outcome or even glad. 

    If you need some evidence that this will go badly for Clinton, here's a good analysis of Trump's new and effective campaign strategy.

    Top three reasons Donald Trump is surging in the polls right now

     

    Quote

     

    ....  But saying Trump is going after Clinton doesn't tell half the story; it's how he's attacking her that really matters.

    First off, he's given her a new moniker that's sticking for a lot of the public: "Crooked Hillary." Trump no longer mentions Clinton on social media without that "Crooked" prefix. This was the same tactic that worked when he nailed Ted Cruz with the "Lyin' Ted" nickname and Jeb Bush with "Low Energy Jeb." A big part of successful campaigning involves quick and snappy sloganeering, and these nicknames have that in spades.

    Secondly, Trump is hitting Clinton on a carefully selected array of issues that at one point or another will appeal to persuadable voters from all persuasions. For hard core gun rights voters, especially in the South, Trump has been calling Clinton an outright "gun grabber." For mainstream conservatives who focus on foreign policy, he's been reminding everyone of the mess in Syria and Libya that began during Clinton's term as Secretary of State.

    For moderate-to-conservative women who aren't so sure Clinton deserves the women's vote just because she's a woman, Trump has continued to allude to her alleged complicity in Bill Clinton's sexual misconduct cases and for what Trump says is her relative silence about violent discrimination against women in the Muslim world.

    And for progressive voters, Trump keeps reminding everyone of Clinton's ties to Wall Street and other alleged financial deals, thus the "Crooked" in "Crooked Hillary." These attacks seem to be leaving more of a mark on the Democratic frontrunner than they're helping Trump. In both the NBC News/Wall Street Journal and ABC News/Washington Post polls, Clinton's numbers are more down over the last month than Trump's numbers are up. That's the thing about effective negative campaigning, it doesn't boost your support that much, it just erodes your opponent's support more. But that's usually good enough to win.

     

    I see the strategy clearly.  Trump is hitting Clinton now on all of her negatives to erode her support.  The next step will be to offer the alternative these folks are looking for to surge his own support and I think that's what Trump will use the convention to start doing.   

  2. 9 minutes ago, PDS said:

    Yes, we can agree you know what I have written.   Sometimes.  [See my post immediately above, addressed to you and predicting a Trump nomination in January of this year].  

    My point in bringing up my background--which would otherwise be irrelevant here--was to remind you that you simply cannot chalk up objections to Trump as being from people who don't know how Trump supporters think, which is something you commonly do.  

    My background actually has nothing to do with the merits of the Trump discussion, except you love to claim that I cannot see you (and now other Trump supporters, apparently).   But, since you keeping bringing this up as a way of dealing with issues, and as merely one example of this hole in your game, I would note that my father--a life long bricklayer and cement mason--talked and acted like Trump long before this iteration of Trump ever came along.  He complained about "the Japs" stealing auto manufacturing jobs from Detroit constantly, and he hated the elites, who he never really did a great job of defining.  This was my way of suggesting to you that you have no special claim to knowledge about how Trump supporters actually think, or how or why my background might prevent me from understanding them.   

    That is the reason I bring it up.          

    It's fair to say that there are enough supporters who are good, intelligent people and you have to ask yourself if their support of Trump carries enough weight to convince you of Trump's merits.  Of course they need to properly explain their support.  One thing: I do hear enough from people who's judgment I trust saying that Trump is dangerous and cannot be trusted.  I wanted to think I should believe the same but I can't make myself feel it (Yeah, just like Hank Rearden when he wants to think Francisco is the guiltiest man in the room.)  I'll merely advise myself and you to keep an active mind (not merely an open one of course for the obvious reason).  

  3. Incidentally, why do many people still think Clinton is nearly invincible against Trump?  Trump just trounced Cruz in Indiana.  Clinton just lost again to the aging socialist dope Sanders (sorry, couldn't resist).  

    What is Clinton's appeal?  I don't see it.  

  4. What we may be looking for is the difference between a selfish act and an act of self sacrifice and asking if there is some personal benefit to the second that contradicts the idea that it IS in fact a self sacrifice.  Do you serve the other at your own expense for some psychological or emotional return on the "investment".  Does that negate it being a self sacrifice?  Is the motive approval or the avoidance of disapproval or actual punishment?  Would that negate it being a self sacrifice?  

  5. On 4/18/2016 at 4:12 PM, RobinReborn said:

     

    In my experience the AGW people are somewhat informed of actual scientific claims made by people who have PhDs.  I don't doubt that there's a level of complexity to the research that they've done that I would have to work hard to understand.  My skepticism is more due to this 'climate science' being a relatively new field of study.

    I just found this really good free online book by Bob Tisdale and it explains the global warming science and politics in layman's terms.

    On Global Warming and The Illusion of Control

  6. 57 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

    In the news item that I posted, the city of Englewood, NJ, had banned the public display of images that it regarded to be loathsome or inappropriate. The Borghi Fine Art gallery posted images of nudity in one of its display windows. Rand specifically supported "legal restraints" on exactly that!

    I quote her again (with my bolding added):

    "Only one aspect of sex is a legitimate field for legislation: the protection of minors and of unconsenting adults. Apart from criminal actions (such as rape), this aspect includes the need to protect people from being confronted with sights they regard as loathsome. (A corollary of the freedom to see and hear, is the freedom not to look or listen.) Legal restraints on certain types of public displays, such as posters or window displays, are proper—but this is an issue of procedure, of etiquette, not of morality . . .

    "The rights of those who seek pornography would not be infringed by rules protecting the rights of those who find pornography offensive—e.g., sexually explicit posters may properly be forbidden in public places; warning signs, such as “For Adults Only,” may properly be required of private places which are open to the public. This protects the unconsenting, and has nothing to do with censorship, i.e., with prohibiting thought or speech."

    Of course, her position is wrong, irrational, and in inconsistent with her stated philosophy. It's an example of her reacting emotionally, not thinking the issue through, and deviating from Objectivism.

    J

     

    Yes that's true and that bothers me too but she's no longer with us. The rest of us have to correct the errors and move on.  At least she provided the methods by which to think about these issues more clearly.  

  7. Brant, I'm afraid you missed my point.  If one opines that a particular law is justified, it doesn't matter if the action being prohibited is occurring or not.  The law itself is the issue, not whether or not the behavior being legislated is occurring or not occurring.  

  8. 1 minute ago, BaalChatzaf said:

    No one is forced to see or watch pornography.  Confront is an interesting word.  I wonder what it means (legally speaking).  Short of a couple rutting on the grass of a public park,  how does anyone confront anyone else with scenes of gross sexuality.  Most people (mostly men)  view their porno  stuff by logging onto  www.video-one.com   or similar sites. Is that confronting?

    Rand isn't claiming anyone is forced to watch pornography.  In fact, that wasn't even the issue.  She was asked a question about sex and what can or cannot be prohibited.  She simply said what she thought was appropriate to legislate in that area.  It's like me saying that I think the government can properly outlaw private ownership of nuclear bombs in response to a question related to the 2nd Amendment and then a critic responds by saying "No one owns any nukes".    

  9. 5 minutes ago, Brant Gaede said:

    This would be a lot better if it came with a referenced Rand quote. I tend to disregard--not discount, disregard--if it doesn't. I don't have time to salvage nuance if not the substance. No one can lecture me about her, not this way. Quote her.

    --Brant

    Perhaps this is what he had in mind.  

  10. On 4/16/2016 at 10:28 AM, Michael Stuart Kelly said:

     6. Now Cassell is claiming she was taken out of context, that the thing was clickbait, yada yada yada. But the Internet is not a forgiving place when your words can be read "in context."

    Tsk tsk tsk...

     

    Is she from Europe?  If she is, she apparently has the right to be forgotten.  John Oliver helps to explain:

     

  11. 3 hours ago, BaalChatzaf said:

    Any  candidate who has never  held a political executive office  is "untested"  as President.

    As a President, yes, but in Sowell's defense, he likely means untested in the sense that this is the first and only political office he will hold in his entire life.  At least with other President's there was some governmental experience behind them.  This is the theory that you need work your way up the political ladder.  Start with a secondary office (Governor, Senator, Representative) and then you have a track record and some experience.  It isn't necessarily my theory but it does exist and it has some plausibility.  

  12. 13 hours ago, Mark said:

    I want Trump to win mainly because his stand on immigration is a huge step in the right direction.

    On this point, I listened to a 2 part podcast debate between Yaron Brook and Leonard Peikoff with Brook taking the open borders position and Peikoff explaining why, in the current political and cultural context, open borders would be a disaster.  Peikoff was actually mirroring the Trump position on Hispanic and Islamic immigration.  I don't know if that surprises anyone here but it's refreshing.

    Peikoff vs Brook on Immigration Part 1

    Peikoff vs Brook on Immigration Part 2

  13. 2 hours ago, merjet said:

    Earth to MereMortal.  Duh!

    Let's get to the meat: Are you saying that Trump is a potential dictator because he is full of bluster?  Might as well ask a simple yes/no question to see what your actual position is and if you can defend it.  

  14. 4 hours ago, merjet said:

    Check your premises. Mussolini was full of bluster.

    Out of all the traits Rand likes in her heroes, you choose to focus on this one because some vicious dictator had the same trait?  Why does this always happen?  Why does Mussolini's bluster matter??  It isn't JUST a person's bluster Rand likes.  It's part of the package.  If some blustering idiot is a destructive collectivist, I'm sure Rand would despise such a person