Dglgmut
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Blog Comments posted by Dglgmut
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On 10/21/2020 at 2:18 PM, william.scherk said:
The five sliders allow slight or major adjustment to the prior assumptions about turnout differentials. In other words, given the assumptions of the Cool Political Report forecast, you can nudge up or down variables in their model. For example, just decreasing the number of "White non-college graduate" who may vote for Biden ... results in a Trump Electoral College victory.
I don't think that 8% black vote is accurate. Here is a history of black voting:
11% in 2004 as a response to 9/11, presumably, and Bush's pro-war stance. 4% and 6% against the first black president, and 8% for Trump in 2016. Since Trump's win I can only imagine black support for the president is up. It's hard to qualify that, but it's probably easier to put it in terms of loyalty to the Democrats being down. It's not so much that Trump has been great, but that the overwhelming Democrat support isn't sustainable when it hasn't come with any noticeable benefits to black people.
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2 hours ago, Michael Stuart Kelly said:
When the left piles on presuppositional adjectives, I know they are lying.
Michael
Opposed to them just talking/publishing?
"In the matter of Q"
in Friends and Foes
A blog by william.scherk in General
Posted
That reddit is full of leftists. It's likely all fake posts.
Also, right wing people don't even use reddit.