Wisconsin - An Interesting Primary This Year...2016

[Selene]

First, Wisconsin is not a "Winner Take All" State:

The vote winner State wide gets 18 delegates out of the 42 at stake on Tuesday April 5th, 2016.

The remaining 24 are broken up into 3 delegates per Congressional District[CD].

Within each CD the allocation of the 3 delegates depends on the vote in that CD. . 

One of these CD's is Paul Ryan's and he has a challenger.

https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/WI

Nice Map...

http://Congressional_2013_Poster.pdf

This will be a nice microcosm of this year's election. 

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[Selene]

Ryan's challenger...

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Primary-Challenge-Paul-Ryan/536115629789256

Total Raised and Spent

Paul Ryan (R) *	$4,550,503	$1,922,149	$5,308,675	December 31, 2015
Tom Breu (D)	$4,699	$9,674	$822	December 31, 2015
Jason Kraayvanger (I)	$0	$0	$0	--
Jason Lebeck (L)	$0	$0	$0	--
Ryan Solen (D)	$0	$0	$0	--

* Incumbent

This looks like a "fair" fight! 

Inequality!!

[Selene]

I am not even going to mention Evita's belief that every premature child  that was born did not have any Constitutional rights and protections because her campaign is, once again, becoming unglued.

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Would Teresa VanDoorn, 44, a homemaker who had become a familiar face at the Sanders office, support Clinton if she became the Democratic presidential nominee?

“No,” VanDoorn said. “Voting for Hillary would be approving of the status quo and establishment — and I don’t approve of that. I would write Bernie’s name in. I consider Hillary equal to the GOP candidates, to be frank.”

The reason to pay close attention to this primary CD by CD is because whoever wins Wisconsin in the November, will be one of the key states that Evita must take. 

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Clinton is well on her way to the nomination. But Wisconsin — a fall battleground with a celebrated tradition of progressive activism and political reform — represents a phenomenon that could undermine her in the general election: She has yet to energize some parts of the liberal base or even persuade them to be comfortable with her candidacy.

Another point made in the article is

Quote

Wisconsin’s primary is important because, in many respects, the state is a microcosm of the Democratic Party nationally and has an unusually engaged electorate.

“We’ve got industrial, urban, rural, small towns, colleges, high tech — it’s all here,” said Democratic former governor Jim Doyle, a Clinton supporter. “Eight years ago, it was a big deal when [Barack] Obama came in and beat Hillary Clinton badly here.”

The kids will not turn out for Evita. 

The "people of color vote" will be off by at least 12-15% as of right now from O'bama numbers.

Blue collar union Democrats despise her.

Trump could beat her just by staying in the right lane and energizing turnout.  Nothing else matters.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-swinging-wisconsin-the-liberal-base-is-not-comfortable-with-clinton/2016/04/01/be84f140-f805-11e5-a3ce-f06b5ba21f33_story.html

A...

[Selene]

Here are my picks:

Republicans:

Cruz      42.5%

Trump   38.2%

Kasitch  19.3%

Keeping Kasitch under 20% is the key for Cruz.  That should gain him a decent night winning 30 of the 42 delegates.

12 would be a one biscuit gravy night...12+ would add eggs and if Trump barely wins, you are talking steak and eggs with unlimited biscuits and gravy.

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Dems later- GO VILLANOVA !  Tough task for them tonight - maybe Donald should talk to the team before the game!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Villanova_University

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HOW GOOD AM I!!!!

NOVA BY 3 - HUGE UPSET - TRUMP'S LOCKER ROOM SPEECH DOES IT!!!!

 

[Selene]

And now the Democrats:

Bernie Sanders a/k/a BS:   50.1%

                                                                            

 

Evita:           49.9%

                                                             

She has a long range, environmentally sound plan for you!

A...

 

 

 

[Selene]

NOVA!!

Quote

Ball Flies. Horn Blares. Villanova Reigns.

By ZACH SCHONBRUNAPRIL 4, 2016

 

Slide Show|10 Photos

Battle for the National Title

Battle for the National Title

CreditBob Donnan/USA Today Sports, via Reuters

HOUSTON — In an atrium inside the Davis Center, Villanova’s practice complex, twin 19-inch monitors inside a glass trophy case show a looping highlight montage of the 1985 men’s basketball national championship game. At the press of a button, a song can accompany it: “One Shining Moment.”

Villanova Coach Jay Wright presses the button each time he enters the building. The music has echoed in the ears of fans like him for 31 years. It lasted as the benchmark of athletic achievement for a small Catholic college from the suburbs of Philadelphia. But now there are two.

The second one arrived on a buzzer-beating shot by Kris Jenkins, whose 3-pointer as time expired ended an instant classic at NRG Stadium on Monday night, stunning North Carolina, 77-74, and delivering Villanova its first national title in men’s basketball since the miracle team of 1985 won as a No. 8 seed.

“I think every shot is going in,” Jenkins said. “So every shot I shot today I thought was going in.”

Trailing by 10 with five minutes remaining, the Tar Heels fought back to trim the lead in the closing moments. With 13.5 seconds remaining, Carolina was down by 3, but Marcus Paige, a senior guard, drained a double-clutch 3-pointer to tie the game.

He had to adjust his shot to avoid a block by Ryan Arcidiacono. But the ball somehow went through the net with 4.3 seconds left, and Carolina fans tossed seat cushions into the air in jubilation.

Arcidiacono dribbled the ball upcourt and flipped it to Jenkins, who was trailing him. Jenkins pulled up for the shot, and it rattled through as time expired.

Continue reading the main story

 

Confetti exploded.

The players dogpiled.

“We’ve run that play every single day in practice,” Arcidiacono said. “And we executed.”

Carolina was vying for its sixth national title, and Coach Roy Williams his third, to move him into a tie for fourth on the career list with Jim Calhoun and Bob Knight. He would have surpassed his mentor, the legendary North Carolina coach Dean Smith.

Instead, he congratulated Wright.

Arcidiacono, who was named the most outstanding player of the Final Four, scored 16 points. Phil Booth added a team-high 20 for Villanova.

Paige scored a game-high 21 points.

When Arcidiacono arrived four years ago, out of shape, mending a back injury, he knew he had a challenge on his hands. Villanova had been 13-19 the previous season, finishing 14th in the Big East. He started calling his freshman teammates “the redemption class.”

“We wanted to get it back to what the standards of Villanova basketball should be,” he said Sunday.

That meant returning the Wildcats to the Final Four, where they had not been since 2009. Wright’s team lost to North Carolina that year in Detroit, and he vowed to make some changes. His team was not going to be distracted by the setting, happy to be there. When the Wildcats left the team hotel for the arena this year, for instance, they sneaked out a back door instead of through dizzying throngs of fans in the lobby.

Both teams were experienced, led by senior guards (Paige and Arcidiacono) on a mission. There were no freshman prodigies expected to dazzle and then ditch college for the N.B.A. This was a throwback game.

It had been a fitful regular season, with no dominating teams and a crowd of contenders leapfrogging one another at the top of the rankings. That uncertainty produced one of the wildest opening weekends in N.C.A.A. tournament history, with 13 first-round upsets and 10 wins by teams with double-digit seeds.

All the while, both Villanova and North Carolina quietly established themselves as a cut above. The Tar Heels, the No. 1 seed in the East Region, had yet to win a tournament game by fewer than 14 points. The Wildcats, a No. 2 seed from the South Region, had to upset the top seed, Kansas, to reach the Final Four. But on Saturday, they delivered a performance for the ages, setting records for margin of victory (44 points) and highest field-goal percentage (71.4 percent).

Understanding the law of averages, Arcidiacono fully expected the shimmer from Saturday’s blowout over Oklahoma to wear off by Monday. “But we can always play our type of basketball,” he said, “and that’s tough defense.”

It was a sloppy start to the game, with the teams combining for four turnovers and only five field goals in the first five minutes. But Carolina, which had missed its first 12 3-point attempts in Saturday’s win over Syracuse, delivered on five of its first seven, including three in a row from the same corner.

Carolina was leading, 32-30, with two minutes remaining in the half when Joel Berry II knifed through Villanova’s defense for an uncontested layup, prompting Wright to call timeout.

The Wildcats went into the locker room at intermission trailing, 39-34, despite shooting 58 percent from the field.

Villanova even outscored Carolina in the paint, 18-12, in the first half, a rarity against the Tar Heels’ interior size. A dry spell for the Tar Heels early in the second half allowed the Wildcats to retake a 49-46 lead with 12 minutes 45 seconds remaining. But neither team looked as if it would pull away.

Villanova, relying on jump shots and pump fakes, kept North Carolina off-balance defensively. The Tar Heels still remained indefatigable inside.

When Booth slid in for a layup, Paige answered with a 3-pointer. The lead, for either team, was no more than 7 points until free throws by Arcidiacono put Villanova up by 8 with 5:58 remaining.

Williams, making his fifth appearance in the national title game, had been irritable with reporters in recent days, sensitive to inquiries about retirement or the continuing N.C.A.A. investigation into Carolina’s long-running academic fraud.

North Carolina had been a team criticized for its softness, its inconsistency and its failure to live up to the outsize expectations of Carolina tradition. That changed late in the year. Forward Kennedy Meeks (16 points) pointed to the team’s win on the road at Duke on March 5 as being its season-defining game, and they had yet to lose since, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15 points.

Along the way, they had rediscovered some of the swagger that typically defines U.N.C. basketball teams.

“In college basketball, people don’t call it baby blue,” Villanova center Daniel Ochefu (9 points, 7 rebounds) said before the game. “They call it Tar Heel blue.”

Technically, that would be Carolina blue, or Pantone 542, an official designation the university modified last year. But on Monday night, another blue — Pantone 281, or Villanova blue to be exact — proved superior.

NY Times