Roger Bissell Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Decision time, America. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Selene Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Yogi said, "If you get to a fork in the road, take it!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Selene Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Here are my picks for tomorrow: Utah 40 delegates over 50% winner takes all - caucus Cruz 56% Kasich 31% Trump 13% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Arizona 58 delegates winner take all - primary and supposedly 50% have already voted with the early voting bull...this should favor Trump here though. Trump 47% Cruz 38% Kasich 15% --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
william.scherk Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robert Campbell Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Adam, You called the winners. As per RCP today... Arizona: Trump 47% Cruz 25% Kasich 10% Right on for Trump. But there were lots of zombie votes for Rubio. Helps to explain why Cruz underperformed your prediction. Utah: Cruz 69% Kasich 17% Trump 14% Good guess on Trump. Maybe Cruz campaigned in Utah with Glenn Beck because he had reliable information that those LDS folks really, really don't like Donald Trump? Robert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Selene Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Thanks. Solid praise from a person who understands elections is always welcome. As to the Cruz oops, you are correct. I did not go back and change it because I did not even consider the Rubio early voting. My blunder. Also why I hate early voting. A... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robert Campbell Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Adam, I don't like early voting either. And early voting in primaries that are part of a spread-out series? Insane! That's why the percentages from Arizona (early voting) add up to 82% and those from Utah (show up at the caucus to vote) add up to 100%. Robert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Selene Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 37 minutes ago, Robert Campbell said: Adam, I don't like early voting either. And early voting in primaries that are part of a spread-out series? Insane! That's why the percentages from Arizona (early voting) add up to 82% and those from Utah (show up at the caucus to vote) add up to 100%. Robert It took me almost an hour to figure that one out because I was looking at key counties to see trends. Boy did I feel like a fool! A... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Selene Posted March 24, 2016 Share Posted March 24, 2016 (edited) Trump currently has approximately 741 + Dr. Carson's 9 = 750 which leaves 496 needed to clinch the nomination on the first ballot. Assuming he loses Wisconsin [42] Every time I think I understand winner take all, I find out that it sorta means "winner take most" in Wisconsin...so Trump will probably lose a very close race as of now, so he would still get 14 with Cruz getting 20 and Kasich getting 5 with 3 depending on Congressional Districts. So now I have to reconfigure ... Wisconsin [42] Trump 14 Takes 15 of Colorado's [37] = 779... He will take 75+ delegates of NY's [95] = 854... -------------------------------------->>April 26th is a big day... Conn. [23] +14 = 868... Del. [16] +16 = 884... Mary [38] +30 = 914... Penn. [71] +50+=964 R.I. [19] +14+=983 ----------------------------------------------->> May 3rd Indiana [57] +27 = 1010 ------------------------------------------------>>May 10th Nebraska [36] +13+ = 1023 W. Virginia [34] +26 = 1049 ------------------------------------------------>>May 24th Washington [44] +24+ = 1073 ------------------------------------------------->>June 7th California [172] +100+ = 1173 Montana [27] + 13 = 1186... New Jersey [51] + 51 = 1237 NOMINATED New Mexico [34] + 12 = 1249......... corrected>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Edited March 25, 2016 by Selene learned how to add properly!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
william.scherk Posted March 24, 2016 Share Posted March 24, 2016 Adam, I transposed your projections into a simplified grille at Google Sheets -- "Trump delegate projections." Anyone can edit that sheet ... it is a simple copy and paste from Sheets to here: TRUMP CRUZ KASICH RUBIO CARSON ETC Delegates in bag 741 465 143 166 8 16 (see also the Greenpapers breakout ) Colorado [37] 15 Wisconsin [42] 0 New York [95] 75 Conn. [28] 14 Del. [16] 16 Mary [38] 30 Penn. [71] 50 R.I. [19] 14 Indiana [57] 27 Nebraska [36] 13 W. Virginia [34] 26 Washington [44] 24 California [172] 100 Montana [27] 13 New Jersey [51] 51 New Mexico [34] 12 South Dakota [29] 0 1211 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
william.scherk Posted September 7, 2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 Missing Adam intensely ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jules Troy Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 On 9/7/2018 at 1:06 PM, william.scherk said: Missing Adam intensely ... Did he die? In prison? Sick of the internetz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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