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The next Canadian federal election is slated for this October 19 -- a shorter season than in America, and different also in that the current Parliament still rules until the arcane machinery of 'the dropping of the writ," which dissolves Parliament and signals the big official campaign. Our Prime Minister will initiate the dropping of the writ in mid-September. As with the polling of GOP and Democratic contenders for your 2016 primary elections, we rely on today's polls at our peril. But I thought I would highlight the latest opinion from the analytic site ThreeHundredEight.com. In a nutshell, the New Democratic Party (the quasi-socialist party that swept to power in Alberta recently) has a narrow 3 point lead over the other two dominant national parties. The ruling Conservatives may be in deep trouble. Much may change between now and October, but with the Alberta election as evidence, many things undreamed of may yet come to pass. Here's a link to a Tory Woes story in the Vancouver Province newspaper, and a graphic from 308 that depicts a scenario for the next Parliament. (I am almost thinking I should issue a call for guesstimates as has Adam regarding the final matchup in your Presidentials, but I don't think anyone besides me and Jules have interest enough to lay qualified bets. Jules, is your skin crawling yet? What the hell can explain these numbers?) As the image says, Cliquer pour plus d'information.