Peter

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Posts posted by Peter

  1. From Rasmussen. White House Watch Trump 48%, Biden 47% Wednesday, October 28, 2020, President Trump has seesawed back into a one-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch survey. The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) On the last Wednesday before Election Day in 2016, Trump and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton were tied at 44% apiece in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch.

    Real Clear Politics has Trump up by a mere 0.4 percent in Florida.

  2. 3 hours ago, Michael Stuart Kelly said:

    Is anyone tired of winning yet?

    I'm not.

    :)

    Michael

    From Rasmussen. Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Sponsored by Liberty Nation, Conservative News Where Truth Matters Monday, October 26, 2020, shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-six percent (46%) disapprove.

    edit. Closed up for brevity and clarity. Tuesday October 27, 2020, Published 4 hours ago/ Karl Rove  breaks down Trump's path  to victory  through Michigan, Pennsylvania,  Wisconsin  /  Trump won all three states by fewer than one percentage point in 2016. "I know from polls that I'm looking at in Arizona, private polls in Arizona [and] North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, that the numbers are tightening," Rove told “The Story”

    "Think about it this way, if the president wins every state -- let's take the three Great Lakes states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin [and] put them to the side for a second. If the president wins any one of the rest of the states he won in 2016 and carries Pennsylvania, he's got 280 electoral votes, ten more than needed," Rove said. "If he carries Wisconsin out of those three states, only Wisconsin, he's got 270," he explained. "If he carries Michigan out of those three states and loses Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he's got 276, so the path to victory lies in these states."

  3. In North Carolina where President Trump is speaking right now, he has some native American Indians over to his right, who seem to be, intermittently and politely, beating on drums. The following is closed up for easier reading and I found a minor error which I fixed. Peter

    Fact Check: Was Hunter Biden Dishonorably Discharged From the Military For Cocaine Use? Marlena Lang  1 day ago. During the first presidential debate on September 29, President Donald Trump said former Vice President Joe Biden's son, Hunter Biden, was dishonorably discharged from the military because of cocaine use.

    The Facts. As Joe Biden spoke about his late son, Beau Biden, and his military work, Trump interrupted to ask Biden if he was referring to his son Hunter and said, "Hunter got thrown out of the military. He was thrown out, dishonorably discharged, cocaine use." Biden responded with, "None of that is true."

    In 2014, Hunter Biden was discharged from the U.S. Navy Reserve after a drug test came back positive for cocaine. Hunter Biden's discharge was not dishonorable as Trump claimed, it was administrative as is protocol for a failed drug test.

    According to JAG Defense, a military and security clearance law firm, while an administrative discharge is less severe than a court-martial (dishonorable discharge), "it can still have lifelong, significant effects upon one's employability, eligibility for veteran’s benefits and social standing."

    There are several types of administrative discharges and separations one can receive from the U.S. military.

    Experts contacted by the Washington Times assume Hunter Biden received one of three separations: honorable, general under honorable conditions, or general under other than honorable. "General under honorable conditions" is the most likely, according to lawyers, according to the Washington Times.

    Hunter has not revealed the type of discharge of his separation in February 2014.

    The Ruling. Partially True. Although Hunter Biden was discharged from the military because of a positive test for cocaine, his discharge was administrative, not dishonorable.

  4. 12 days to the election.

    Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Sponsored by Liberty Nation, Conservative News Where Truth Matters Thursday, October 22, 2020. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday, sponsored by Liberty Nation, Conservative News Where Truth Matters, shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. end quote

    What a jump for Trump! I am really hoping tonight’s debate is a winner for our great President. The Real Clear Politics map has the Senate at 46-46 with 8 tossups: Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, North Carolina, and South Carolina. The New York Times has Graham from South Carolina up by 5 percent. But Republican Collins is polling poorly in Maine.

  5. How will Trump handle the issue of Biden corruption during the debate? Any new suggestions? I definitely see another ruined, Watergate type of presidency if Biden is elected. Peter

    Interesting fact. From MSN.  Seinfeld is best known for playing himself in the sitcom ‘Seinfeld’, which was written by Larry David and himself. He’s had an incredibly successful career as a stand-up comedian; and in 2020, Jerry Seinfeld’s net worth is estimated to be $950 million.

  6. I just wanted to mention that we started watching Outlander again and it hasn’t been so bad. They are in France and so far they have been relatively decent shows with beautiful houses and lush, green backgrounds. I won’t give anything else away.

    I may have mentioned this before but on another front I wanted to congratulate Jimmy Fallon on the new Tonight Show theme. It reminds me of the theme song to the TV show, The Odd Couple.   

  7. 1 hour ago, tmj said:

    I hope the President announces he’s fine with all that , by Wednesday afternoon Biden will be diagnosed with China Death Plague.

    China Death Plague. CDP? Sshh! Nobody in the campaign or family says anything, Kapeesh? Here is an interesting perspective from Breitbart:

    Joe Biden has not disputed those are indeed Hunter’s emails. Hunter Biden has not disputed those are his emails. The Biden campaign has not disputed those are Hunter’s emails. And those emails are beyond damning. If they are indeed Hunter’s emails (and I believe they are), they expose Biden as a traitor and something akin to a mafia godfather using his crime family to enrich himself. So, if the emails are real, Joe Biden is better off hiding than going out and campaigning. end quote

    I earlier said the same about a lack of active campaigning from Kommie Harris, but an hour later she was in Florida with her jack boots on the ground, and promoting Nazi-Sozi Socialism. Peter

    Notes from Wikipedia. The first use of the term "Nazi" by the National Socialists occurred in 1926 in a publication by Joseph Goebbels called Der Nazi-Sozi ["The Nazi-Sozi"]. In Goebbels' pamphlet, the word "Nazi" only appears when linked with the word "Sozi" as an abbreviation of "National Socialism"

  8. What a scared-y cat. Planes are five times safer than homes and nursing homes because of the air circulation. Leave the vents on, Kamala!   

    WILMINGTON, Del. (AP) — Joe Biden's presidential campaign said Thursday that vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris will suspend in-person events until Monday after two people associated with the campaign tested positive for coronavirus. The campaign said Biden had no exposure, though he and Harris spent several hours campaigning together in Arizona on Oct. 8. Harris was scheduled to travel Thursday to North Carolina for events encouraging voters to cast early ballots. The campaign told reporters Thursday morning that Harris' communications director and a traveling staff member for her travel to Arizona tested positive after that Oct. 8 trip

  9. No changes to speak of, with Fox showing long lines in several locations in Florida even with rain. Rasmussen and RCP poll averages are nearly flat with no surges. “Trump predicts victory to his campaign staff.” He thinks his campaign, two weeks ago, was not in the place it should have been, but now “We are winning.” Trump’s internal voting is predicting a victory, with supporters showing up in person just before or on November 3rd.

    Mike Kelly R PA of the House Ways and Means Committee is saying ALL the enthusiasm is for Trump in Pennsylvania. There are Trump signs everyone, in yards and on businesses. There are two Trump rallies in Arizona today. Usually 30 percent of Arizona voting is by mail.

    Kamala Harris is locked in her basement and Joe Biden is doing a few honky drive-in rallies.

  10. Friday, October 16, 2020. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday, shows that 48% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove . . . .

    And today Sunday October 18, 2020, the Real Clear Politics poll for all states show Biden with a 5 percent lead over Trump, and a 1.4 percent lead in both Florida and Georgia. The RCP no toss up Senate map has Republicans with 53 seats and Democrats ending up with 47.

    And RCP had this headline. With Delayed Election Tally Likely, Both Sides Gird for Battle By Philip Wegmann - RCP Staff

    It is less than 3 weeks until the election and things are closing up, and that is not counting the “shy” Trump voters . . . . as it gets closer to the election people are beginning to wonder, “When will we know the official results? Any suggestions on a date if not the night of November 3rd  or the next day of November 4, 2020? My wife dropped off our ballots at a drop box which is under surveillance and emptied twice a day they say, but there was no one standing next to it. Peter   

    Notes.  “If they use mail-in ballots,” Trump told RealClearPolitics last week in an Oval Office interview, “this will be the most fraudulent and rigged election in the history of our country.” Here the president paused to make a distinction. There are absentee ballots, which he used to vote first in New York and later in Florida. He says those are “okay.” Then there are the other mail-in ballots, the ones that the president complains are sent out indiscriminately and without additional security. “When you mail out millions of ballots,” he said, “and then think that you are going to get them back -- honestly, you’re either very stupid, very naive, or you want the election to be a result, and you think that’s going to be the best way to get there.”

  11. Michael cautioned us, “Now hold onto your hats because this is going to be one hell of a ride.”

    I hope the ride begins today or at least before the election. From Fox just now: “Outrage grows over social media suppression of Hunter Biden story.“  If Rudy gives the videos and info to Fox will they report it? They may not be as “big” as social media but even if the National Enquirer ran with the full story it would become widely known in a day. Put it on the air!

  12. TF wrote: Would they dare open the door for Kommie Harris? Stay tuned.

    I apologize if anyone has answered this one already. This is an often repeated thought but Biden is soon going to be 78 years old and Trump is 74 years old.

    What does anyone think will happen if Joe Biden or President Trump become incapacitated between now and the election or if they win the election and then become incapacitated? Will their Vice Presidential choices continue to run? Do they there after move into the Presidency?

    On my ballot the voter must fill in ONE oval each that clearly states Trump for President and Pence for Vice President or Biden for President and Harris for Vice President. Any ideas if incapacitation does happen?  

    Oh, and I am editing this to add the following not so bad news.

     

    There is a lot of speculation in the following but it makes the world seem a better place. Signing off, this is Captain James T. Quirk of the U.S.S. Enterprise.  

    Some excerpts from The American Spectator: . . . . Are October 2020 polls that purport to show former Vice President Biden ahead of President Trump significantly different than the mid-October 2016 surveys that indicated Hillary Clinton had all but won the election? The most obvious symptom of this intransigence is their refusal to consider the possibility that their models should contain some mechanism to account for the “shy Trump voter.” . . . . Shy Trump voters are, by definition, hidden. Many are people who rarely answer calls or texts from numbers they don’t recognize. These voters are very real but quite invisible to pollsters. Some shy Trump voters are willing to participate in some public opinion surveys, yet remain reluctant to level with pollsters . . . . Are October 2020 polls that purport to show former Vice President Biden ahead of President Trump significantly different than the mid-October 2016 surveys that indicated Hillary Clinton had all but won the election? For the comparable polls, there is little difference. The NBC/WSJ poll, for example, had Clinton up by 11 points on October 10, 2016. The NBC/WSJ poll showed Biden up by 11 points on October 12, 2020. Clinton was up by double digits in five polls between October 9 and October 16 of 2016. Biden has been up by double digits six times during the same seven-day period this year. At about this point in October 2016 Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers began their fatal decline . . . They are enjoying expected mail-in leads in other battleground states, like North Carolina, but they always do. In 2016, Clinton had a seven-point lead in North Carolina on October 25, but Trump won the state by more than 3 percent on Election Day. In Florida and Pennsylvania, it was closer but the story was much the same. In the end, the pollsters are clueless and the “experts” are wrong on shy voters. All that matters is who shows up, and early Rust Belt turnout suggests another Trump victory.

  13. 3 hours ago, turkeyfoot said:

    I like entertainment and substance. Trump was that and more.

    I agree. It is interesting that Biden voters are more likely to vote early. My wife and I decided against voting in person and we will mail in our ballots tomorrow, October 16, 2020. I filled in the ovals completely with a Bic pen.

    I thought the Trump inquisitor, NBC anchor Savannah Guthrie, was very angry at the beginning of the debate . . . oops, I mean The Town Hall. Maybe she should be fired, because she did a lousy, unfair job.

    From Rasmussen. 65% Say They’re Likely To Vote Early If They Can Thursday, October 15, 2020. Early voting is available in most states, and voters in those states by a two-to-one margin plan to take advantage of it. Biden voters are much more eager to vote early than Trump supporters. end quote

  14. What a brilliant letter from Allan Costell, told from a proven sociologic viewpoint yet recognizing free will. So . . . in what ways is our human makeup and ways of acting determined? What things are totally within our control? Peter

    From: Allen R Costell To: objectivism Subject: OWL: The Influence of Culture Date: Sat, 8 Jun 2002 23:46:28 -0500

    An argument has been made (by David Potts, 6/5) and seconded (by Bruce Norbeck, 6/06) that criticizing impossible ideals and immoral images is "profoundly un-objectivist". This argument has a few problems with it, yet rather than detail them all I shall focus on the key point: independence and the influence of culture in regard to impossible ideals and images.

    Here is the argument in toto, followed by my analysis: An Objectivist takes responsibility for his own life and happiness and for his own decisions -- realizing that just about everything in life is dependent on one's own decisions. The point is illustrated by some recent list discussion in which some people have been repeating the common complaint that the media are setting up the wrong ideals concerning body image for young people or women or whomever. This rhetoric is profoundly un-Objectivist. An Objectivist considers that it is up to the individual to decide what to make of  the images he sees in magazines or on television, and he does not blame other people (the faceless "media") if he discovers he has been guilty of passively absorbing their values.

    While it's true that Objectivism holds that we all bear fundamental responsibility for our own lives, it is both untrue and not an Objectivist notion that "just about everything in life is dependent on one's own decisions."  Many life altering events are largely outside of your control:  natural disasters, the weather, and other forces of nature; what socioeconomic status you were born into; how you were raised by your parents; when your parents die or died; the occasional stroke of fate (from finding a good parking spot to being a victim of unexpected terrorism) -- just to name some major examples.  These facts can easily shape your life.  For example, if you were molested as a child, or even malnourished, you will have a different life than if you had been raised in a healthy, loving home.  Yet when faced with child molestation or some other powerful external event, it is incorrect to say, as David's argument says, that one basically just needs to "take responsibility." We are *contextually* independent, not *absolutely* independent.  The context of external reality has the ability to shape our lives in ways we don't and wouldn't choose.

    Given this, the main issue is whether the general types of images people see -- e.g., images of women as impossibly flawless, thin to the point of being unhealthy, meek, passive and accepting, seeking approval from others, willing to be bound and dominated, always available and wanting -- are powerful.  Well, think about all these ways these images are propagated:  the thousands of commercials people see each year (not including the commercials students are *forced* to see watching Channel One in school); the fraudulent, airbrushed images on magazine covers (be they fashion, beauty, teen, exercise, car, or men's mags) at your newsstand or grocery checkout, or on pornographic magazines; the advertising located inside those magazines and various mainstream newspapers; the images of women you see in the stores, in catalogs, on the sides of buses, on the walls of bus stops, in subway stations and trains, on billboards, in unsolicited internet pop-up ads; the representations of women you see in mainstream movies, TV shows, music videos, soft-core adult films (like on Showtime), and hard-core pornographic films; the reinforcement of these ideals in locker rooms, school hallways, parties, contemporary music lyrics, and most any gathering of (especially young) peers; the threat of both disapproval, insults, and even violence when you resist . . . . and I'm sure I've overlooked some things.  (Anyone?)

    Look at that force, that tidal wave.  It's more than a tidal wave; it's more like four waves coming from all directions.  Obviously I find this to be more than just a minor influence.  Bruce says "get over it" and David says "hey, it's your own fault; after all, you were the one that's guilty of 'passively absorbing' those values."  Well, that's a massive oversimplification, one that would be completely laughable and dismissible if it wasn't so common. The current structure is set in such a way that to resist this onslaught takes enormous knowledge, effort, and endurance.  Yes, independence is possible, but given the relative ubiquity of such images -- and the trillions (upon trillions) of dollars spent to bombard people with it, to saturate their environment with it -- it's extremely difficult.  Roarkian independence is an ideal to aspire to, but that entails realizing what forces seek to manipulate you and maintain their control over you. Contrary to David's assertion, that's not "blaming other people", it's recognizing their intentions and working to resist their influence, a necessary step toward living an independent, authentic, self-directed life. Allen Costell

  15. 19 days to go before the election. Because of the Left Coast’s 74 and New York’s 29 electoral college votes, Biden starts out with a numerical lead. Is it too soon to predict? Maybe. I saw one of Harris’s aides and Baron Trump  have tested positive for Covid-19, and the looming October surprise may have arrived.

    RealClearPolitics' gauge of polls in six crucial battleground states — Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and North Carolina — currently shows Biden with a 4.9-point lead over Trump. end quote

    That lead has shrunk in a week, from 10 to 5.

    Battleground states. Florida, 29 electoral college votes. Pennsylvania, 20 Michigan, 16 Wisconsin, 10 Arizona, 11. North Carolina, 15. So, 29 plus 20 equals 49 plus 16 equals 65 plus 10 equals 75 plus 11 equals 86 plus 15 equals 101 electoral college votes in those battleground states. If Trump wins them all he wins 101 electoral votes.

    One fairly likely (and likeable) scenario. Trump has 125 very, very likely electoral college votes. 125 plus the battleground states total of 101 equals 226. Texas, with 38 electoral votes should be won by Trump, though it is a tossup on the RCP map. 226 plus Texas’s 38 equals 264. Come on you retirees and snowbirds! Sorry for the error. I deleted where I counted Florida twice. 

    edit 

    When are the town halls? Both the Biden and Trump town halls are slated to start at 8 p.m. ET. Biden's will last for an hour and a half, while Trump's will last for an hour.

    Who is moderating? George Stephanopoulos of ABC News will moderate the Biden town hall, while Savannah Guthrie of NBC News will moderate the Trump town hall.

    Savannah Guthrie Journalist Savannah Clark Guthrie is an Australian-born American broadcast journalist and attorney. She is a main co-anchor of the NBC News morning show Today, a position she has held since July 2012.

    Donald Trump Attacks NBC As “The Worst” & Mocks Savannah Guthrie As Network Slammed Over Dueling Town Halls.

    And that’s the way it is. This is Walter Crumbite saying goodnight. Peter

  16. 5 hours ago, Ellen Stuttle said:

    I quit donating to ARI some years ago, I think even before the 2016 election, and I was only contributing the minimum needed to receive their newsletter thing.

    Ellen

    Someone convinced me to stop donating to ARI a few years ago here on OL.  

  17. I still do not understand the big O, little o objectivist dislike of Ronald Reagan, nor Ayn Rand's.  And their hatred of Donald Trump is moronically lacking any DEEP reasoning. Look at any of Rand's political stances and from Laissez-Faire Capitalism, moving away from deep state cronyism, openness, and onwards from there, I know she would support President Trump.

  18. On 9/27/2020 at 1:12 AM, Michael Stuart Kelly said:

    If that is true, what the Democrats are about to unleash on Amy Coney Barrett will help President Trump's 2020 election considerably, not so much his own reelection, but in electing and reelecting Republicans down ballot in both the House and Senate.

    It is interesting that Rasmussen Polling thinks President Trump’s selection of a woman, Supreme Court nominee who may not be “pro-abortion rights” has lowered him in the polls. I mentioned before how states already have restrictions on abortions especially, late term abortions, but no one is suggesting overturning Roe v. Wade. And many hospitals and the obstetricians themselves have restrictions on abortions. So once again, I suggest that if a 5 to 4 conservative court did not hear any cases about overturning Roe v. Wade, a 6 to 3 court will not either. My own thinking on the matter is that some at point in gestation, around the 26th week, a PERSON is there.    

    I do not think “a person” exists at conception. Of course, the embryo is always a human at that stage of development, but a *person* with rights exists when a person is actually there, which is when the embryo starts to think around the 24th to 28th week after conception. Also it is important to realize that even a child after birth is not granted the exercise of all its rights. A child needs to be taken care of. A child by its nature cannot be responsible enough to drive a car, or to do a myriad of things without adult supervision. That does not mean that it does not have all the rights of an adult, it simply means that a parent or guardian exercises its rights FOR the child.

    I also think that the nature of an unthinking human embryo endows it with more importance than any other life form and if it is to be aborted at any time, I think the abortion should be given the utmost consideration. (Growing up in a military family we always referred to such an absolute as “due consideration,” and it is not a frivolous term.) From the instant after fertilization a human embryo should be given more consideration than inanimate matter and more consideration than all other creatures in the vast, animal kingdom. Peter

    Notes. From Advancing New Standards In Reproductive Health or ANSIRH: Ob-Gyn teaching hospitals often restrict abortion beyond state law

    Hospital-based abortions are often the only option for women, especially those with complex medical needs. Obstetrics and gynecology residency programs are required to provide access to abortion training, but graduates frequently report that hospital policies interfere with that training. When it comes to teaching hospitals, facility-level abortion restrictions can affect both patient care and clinician instruction.

    In response to a national survey of 169 OB-GYN teaching hospitals, the majority (57%) of residency training program directors reported that their facility had some sort of written or unwritten policy that restricted abortion provision beyond what their state law allowed. Such policies were more common at hospitals in the South and the Midwest. It was more common for policies to restrict abortions sought for reasons other than maternal or fetal health, rape, or incest, also known as “non-medically indicated” or “elective” abortions. A quarter of all sites prohibited non-medically indicated abortions altogether, and many restricted care for such procedures to a gestational duration under state law requirements. A quarter of institutions restricted both medically indicated and non-medically indicated abortions beyond state law. 

    Policies were created by those with institutional power, including hospital leadership and obstetrics and gynecology department chairs, and were perceived to be motivated by personal beliefs and a desire to avoid controversy. It is likely that patients presenting to U.S. teaching hospitals with policies that restrict abortion access beyond state law are unaware of those restrictions.

    These findings are especially relevant during the COVID-19 crisis, when elected officials and hospitals have targeted abortion as a “nonessential” procedure. Abortion is essential in any circumstance, given that both health risks and difficulty accessing care increase with delay. Still, the restrictions imposed during the pandemic will only exacerbate the kinds of restrictions we found in place at hospital training facilities, further depriving people of their right to decide if and when to have a child.

    This study, “Abortion Policies in U.S. Teaching Hospitals: Formal and Informal Parameters Beyond the Law,” is available in Obstetrics & Gynecology.

  19. On 9/27/2020 at 2:09 AM, Mark said:

    Shysters

    This article, about ARI and the presidential election, was complete as of a few days ago.  Then I discovered more ARI people had weighed in so I added a stub section (“stub” as Wikipedia uses the word) called “More Shysters” and will add to it in a few days.

     

    DELETED. Thanks Mark.

  20. On 10/13/2020 at 12:41 PM, Mark said:

     

    New on  ARIwatch.com :

    An HBL Member on the Election

    (HBL being the Harry Binswanger Letter)

     

     

    That is a first hand look at insanity. Under President Trump, excluding the horror of the coronavirus, we are safer, better off, and being led my a rational businessman, not a politician. Ayn Rand supported Dewey and Goldwater, so how could she not support Trump? Of course, she would have reservations and be disapproving of some of this actions but President Trump upholds the values of our Founding Fathers, as did Reagan. 

    Biden never had a real job. Even his lifeguard stint as a young man was for the municipality of Wilmington, Delaware. Everything else he has ever done was in the political arena. In contrast Trump never had a government job until he became President. Biden is "deep state. " Trump is for open, clearly visible, government.  Peter