Peter

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Blog Comments posted by Peter

  1. 31 minutes ago, william.scherk said:

    One reason you might want to make note of this forecast today ... it will come in handy as a locus of scorn and schadenfreude if election results don't bear much relation to their model.

    Thanks to our northern province, Canadia. MIke Myers.

    I am a bit leery about the idea of mail in voting, though some voters have opted for that method over the years, as with the elderly. Of course there are always absentee ballots among the military and their families. When I vote I must show my ID, even though the polling staff may know me by sight. What if election day comes and goes but Americans are are still waiting for the absentee ballots to come in and be counted? That is not good. And there is a greater chance of fraud.

    After taking precautions a grocery store can have people come in and shop so why not the same for on-site voting? I hereby vote for on-site voting with the usual allowance for absentee ballots. Oh, and no “Instacart” voting, but could curb side ballot pickup and voting be legit? Hmmm? You can see the license tags. We could use drive in theater or sports pavilion parking lots. Peter   

    From The Heritage Foundation. Types of Voter Fraud.

    IMPERSONATION FRAUD AT THE POLLS: Voting in the name of other legitimate voters and voters who have died, moved away, or lost their right to vote because they are felons, but remain registered.

    FALSE REGISTRATIONS: Voting under fraudulent voter registrations that either use a phony name and a real or fake address or claim residence in a particular jurisdiction where the registered voter does not actually live and is not entitled to vote.

    DUPLICATE VOTING: Registering in multiple locations and voting in the same election in more than one jurisdiction or state.

    FRAUDULENT USE OF ABSENTEE BALLOTS: Requesting absentee ballots and voting without the knowledge of the actual voter; or obtaining the absentee ballot from a voter and either filling it in directly and forging the voter’s signature or illegally telling the voter who to vote for.

    BUYING VOTES: Paying voters to cast either an in-person or absentee ballot for a particular candidate.

    ILLEGAL “ASSISTANCE” AT THE POLLS: Forcing or intimidating voters—particularly the elderly, disabled, illiterate, and those for whom English is a second language—to vote for particular candidates while supposedly providing them with “assistance.”

    INELIGIBLE VOTING: Illegal registration and voting by individuals who are not U.S. citizens, are convicted felons, or are otherwise not eligible to vote.

    ALTERING THE VOTE COUNT: Changing the actual vote count either in a precinct or at the central location where votes are counted.

    BALLOT PETITION FRAUD: Forging the signatures of registered voters on the ballot petitions that must be filed with election officials in some states for a candidate or issue to be listed on the official ballot.

  2. What is the record DOW closing? 29,348.10 set on January 17, 2020, just before Covid-19 arrived on the shores of America from Communist China. The DOW was back up to 27,370 at 3:39 pm.

    Oh, oh, President Trump is in Ohio, where 100 church goers and their families contracted Covid-19 from ONE church goer on Sunday, diagnosed today four days later, and their Governor Mike DeWine has just tested positive from it. President Trump should be in a bubble but he is not even wearing a mask!

  3. He claims to have evidence that Trump will lose but I think he is too emotionally involved in seeing Trump lose, to be believable. Check Rasmussen where it is 49/49 . . . and because of "the sure thing" that Trump's supporters will vote, I predict President Trump will be President until . . .  2024. After all he is a non drinker or smoker and he is a LOT younger than Biden. joke.  

  4. 9 hours ago, Michael Stuart Kelly said:

    When the left piles on presuppositional adjectives, I know they are lying.

    What the f? I don't take suppositories. Prune juice works in thirty minutes. You don't believe me? Do a scientific test. Oh My. Tomorrow and the next day in the mid nineties on Delmarva. 

  5. On 1/30/2020 at 3:39 PM, william.scherk said:

    Vancouver, British Columbia is a major film, television and digital media production centre.  Meghan could be in the studio after a half-hour seaplane ride from the private residence

    Harry and Meghan are dropping the title “Royal.” Henceforth they shall be called “Roils.” Their new line of fine Canadian Whiskey shall be named “Crown Roil.”

  6. 5 minutes ago, Ellen Stuttle said:

    Bob was exhibiting signs of Alzheimer's along with his characteristic Aspie obliviousness.  I started to wonder toward the end of last year if he'd died, and I took to periodically checking his User Profile to see if he'd signed in.  He did sign in on Thanksgiving Day, November 28, and then again on February 6.

    Ellen

    You are the best, Ellen. February 6th is not too long ago. I know Bob mentioned bicycling which is a good omen for immortality.  

  7. Princess Ellen wrote: Now, the warming specifically of the Arctic might be cause for worry.

    And the Antarctic just reached 65 degrees F just above the ice. What if Canadas’s grain belt extended hundreds of miles further north? Moderate warming is good. This is dedicated to our beloved neighbor, Canada. We are best friends. Peter

    In the early mornin' rain
    With a dollar in my hand
    And an aching in my heart
    And my -pockets full of sand
    I'm a long ways from home
    And I missed my loved one so
    In the early mornin' rain
    With no place to go

    Out on runway number nine
    Big 707 set to go
    Well I'm out here on the grass
    Where the pavement never grows
    Where the liquor tasted good
    And the women all were fast
    There she goes my friend
    She's rolling out at last

    Hear the mighty engines roar
    See the silver wing on high
    She's away and westward bound
    For above the clouds she flies
    Where the mornin' rain don't fall
    And the sun always shines
    She'll be flying over my home
    In about three hours time

    This ol' airport's got me down
    It's no earthly good to me
    'Cause I'm stuck here on the ground
    Cold and drunk as I might be
    Can't jump a jet plane
    Like you can a freight train
    So I best be on my way
    In the early mornin' rain
    So I best be on my way
    In the early mornin' rain
    So I best be on my way
    In the early mornin' rain. Songwriter: GORDON LIGHTFOOT

  8. 2 hours ago, Michael Stuart Kelly said:

    Only gods like themselves with their non-human perception can save the world.

    My thinking exactly, Michael.

    Brad wrote: Humans perception isn't the best tool to pick up a signal like climate change that occurs so gradually, relative to our lifespans.

    Too bad we don’t have climate glasses to enhance our vision of yesterday, today, and tomorrow. I am not discounting “weather history,” just conclusions that conflate a political agenda with science. It has been going on since the 1970’s: how to destroy Capitalism and set up a Bloomberg (or Gloomberg) nanny or totalitarian state? After all “the deep state” knows best and they will lead you to a better tomorrow.

    I remember when it was hotter. I remember when it was colder. I can read books and evaluate data. My point, is that geological records estimating climate change throughout the ages excluded mankind because we weren’t here yet, as Brad mentioned above, but the climate changed anyway, with or without us. Our contributions are significant locally but not worldwide. I am thinking of LA or Chinese big city smog which is better without higher emission cars.  

    Lately they have been tying tree cutting, to rainforest deforestation in the Amazon, which could lead to a lack of oxygen in the atmosphere.  I just stepped outside to feed the birds and it was drizzling. The air was pure and sweet. That means the planet humans evolved on is much the same today as it was 100,000 years ago.

    And we are observing the effects of population density in China, where the weak and elderly are being culled from the herd, which sounds horrible, but it is happening. Pollution. Contaminated water and trash-filled, land. Pennsylvanian, Amish cows are polluting the Chesapeake Bay but they are working to stop direct runoff up there. I am not against that. But I am against the initiation of force and coercion to push a political agenda. Say “Amen!” brothers and sisters.        

  9. Brad wrote: 14 of 17 climate models published between 1970 and 2001 accurately projected future warming.

    I seem to remember that around 1969 or 1970 in California, global cooling was the big worry. I will take a look at those studies when I have time. At the Junior College I was attending then, the science prof's, (some sort of geology, Political geology?) predicted global cooling. I have also mentioned many times how some friends of the family have a beach house in Fenwick, Delaware next to the water and it looks the same now as it did back in around 1966. Same distance from the ocean. Same need to occasionally replenish the dunes. House not flooded. My in-laws have a home in West Ocean City on the water and I do see that some marsh has turned into just water, but on the other side of the road away from the water there is a marsh that has now filled in to a great degree. My point is let your own eyes be the tools of detection.

     

  10. 17 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

    Perhaps you don’t remember all of that because you were like twelve at the time? Well, we remember it,

    Dream sequence. The year is 1920 and your great, great, great grandparents buy five acres of the highest ground in in Key West. They then raise the land with stabilizing rods and several hundred dump truck loads of dirt. Soon you have a hill shaped to withstand erosion and any hurricane they may ever come along. Now it is worth a lot of money but then Al Gore starts saying "We are doomed because of man-made global warming" and the land's value plummets" . . . Heck, I think I would still be confident enough to go live there myself. Even by the worst predictions of the alarmist, I would still have 500 years to go before the land is threatened . . . though maybe I could only travel to and from the mainland by boat, like Harry and Meghan on Vancouver Island. Peter      

  11. I saw two ladies on the Weather Channel discussing the groundhog’s emergence tomorrow. I think they said it will be rainy in Puxatawny.  And they said it was all humbug thinking a groundhog could have anything to do with the climate. Say? Maybe the groundhog should be named Al Gore . . . or William.

    Here on Delmarva we will be in the high fifties to sixties for the next week. Our weatherman, Paul Satterfield, said he thinks winter is over here, but don’t quote him on it. Tonight we have drizzling rain and it is 41 degrees at around midnight. That was brave of Paul because some of our worst snowstorms have been in February. There are several establishment that have palm trees and in spite of a very warm winter all the palms have died.   

  12. 8 hours ago, william.scherk said:

    Vancouver, British Columbia is a major film, television and digital media production centre.  Meghan could be in the studio after a half-hour seaplane ride from the private residence ...

    Thank you William. I did not know that. I think my neighbors would give the Royals some space too. It would be kind of cool to be out jogging or walking and coming from the other direction are Harry with his wife and little Archie in a jogging buggy. Some more “Canadian questions?” Do you think of yourself as British in some ways? If you saw Queen Elizabeth in person would you think of her as your monarch? I know that sounds weird but I suppose I would be tongue tied if President Trump knocked on my door and asked to use the bathroom. Aye Capitan! Peter  

    Notes. “As gross as ignorance made drunk.” William Shakespeare, in “Othello.”  Was The Bard thinking of Le Cockroach or Representative Adam Shitt? *(inside joke)

  13. Curious, William, I looked on the net for Vancouver Island’s climate. It rarely goes below 32 degrees F. or above 66. Peter

    Today. January Climate & Weather Averages in Vancouver Island. High Temp: 47 °F Low Temp: 37 °F Mean Temp: 42 °F Precipitation: 12.26" Humidity: 90% Dew Point: 39 °F Wind: 6 mph Pressure: 29.99 "Hg Visibility: 10 mi

    Little Archie will need a jacket. It seems like a decent place to live. But I would miss warmer summers. It's 41 here on Delmarva. I went outside to throw the birds some seed on our concrete driveway and I was not wearing shows but it didn't bother me  . . .  much.

  14. Jonathan observed: The way that modern "science" works is that you make extreme and scary predictions based on your hypothesis, and then, when they don't come true, you do not conclude that your hypothesis has been falsified, but that new predictions, which are even scarier, need to be made and publicly promoted as being logically justified following the failure of the last predictions. end quote

    Wow. We have a real Karl Popper in our midst. Good thinking Jonathan! Hypothesis fails scrutiny so you up the ante and say, I was just a wee bit wrong, because obviously the evidence says even worse is going to happen. Two not so long quotes and then I shall reenter the conversation.  

    Karl Popper wrote: . . . .To this we have to add (3) the principle of empiricism which asserts that in science only observation and experiment may decide upon the acceptance or rejection of scientific statements, including laws and theories . . . . What is the justification for the belief that the future will resemble the past? What is the justification of so-called inductive inferences? By an inductive inference is here meant an inference from repeatedly observed instances to some as yet unobserved instances. It is of comparatively minor significance whether such an inference from the observed to the unobserved is, from the point of view of time, predictive or retro-dictive; whether we infer that the sun will rise tomorrow or that it did rise 100,000 years ago. Of course, from a pragmatic point of view, one might say that it is the predictive type of inference which is the more important. No doubt usually it is. end quote

    From “The Universe in a Nutshell,” by Stephen Hawking: “Any sound scientific theory, whether of time or any other concept, should in my opinion be based on the most workable philosophy of science: the positivist approach put forward by Karl Popper and others. According to this way of thinking, a scientific theory is a mathematical model that describes and codifies the observations we make. A good theory will describe a large range of phenomena on the basis of a few simple postulates and will make definite predictions that can be tested. If the predictions agree with the observations, the theory survives that test, though it can never be proven to be correct. On the other hand, if the observations disagree with the predictions, one has to discard or modify the theory.  (At least, that is supposed to happen. In practice, people often question the accuracy of the observations and the reliability and moral character of those making the observations.)  If one takes the positivist position, as I do, one cannot say what time actually is. All one can do is describe what has been found to be a very good mathematical model for time and say what predictions it makes.” end quote

    Back to me. Can the previous quotes about induction, science, and time also pertain to political theories and predictions? I think politics, which is a part of philosophy, should be based on as few postulates as needed and no more. And a political theory should be amendable to our current level of knowledge. But the basic premises cannot change. An example is, The Bill of Rights is the basis for long term existence of The Constitution of the United States. Only if current political thinking and action are in sync with the Constitution is it likely, probable, or certain to work and not be nullified by the Supreme Court or by failure. Sorry if that is jumbled. It’s late. Peter