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Blog Comments posted by Jonathan

  1. 22 hours ago, william.scherk said:

    When you ask me 'where are the models' that predict most accurately or reliably and repeatedly, I think you might mean something like a Global Climate Model, but if not, can you offer more detail?

    Yes, I mean something like a global climate model. I mean a set of predictions based on a hypothesis. I mean a proposal to be tested, such as, "If mankind produces X amount of substance Y, then temperatures will increase to Z over the specified period of time." I mean actual, real science. Testable explanations and accurate, repeatable predictions. I mean hypotheses, experimentation, observation, and, of course, the inclusion of falsifiability.



  2. Try this: write that book you've been threatening to write. Pour a year or two of your heart and soul, your blood, sweat, and tears, into it. Publish it, which doesn't cost a lot these days. Then announce its availability to OL members. Even better, get a well-respected, prolific thinker and writer on OL to praise your book's merits and to recommend others buy it.

    That's a great idea. I'd love to see Phil announcing on OL that he has produced and is selling something which he has poured his heart and soul into for a year or two.[....]

  3. I love reading O'Rourke's stuff, but I can't stand listening to him talk, at least not when he's speaking extemporaneously. I caught a little bit of his appearance last night on the Laura Ingraham show and had to shut it off due to the annoying staccato "uh-uh-uh-uh-aw-aw-aw-aw-aw"-ing that O'Rourke uses to fill space while selecting the words that he might use in a sentence: "I think that Obama is not to be uh-uh-uh-uh-aw-aw-aw-aw-aw trusted, a-a-a-a-a-a-a-and I think he's uh-uh-uh-uh-aw-aw-aw-aw-aw less than uh-uh-uh-uh-aw-aw-aw-aw-aw honest." It almost makes him sound more haughty and phony than Bill Buckley.

  4. Psyche and the Mentalist are both shows that have detectives who are very good observers. People watching them think they have esp. Of the two show I like The Mentalist more. Simon Baker projects a wonderful benevolence.

    Psyche while it has the wonderful Dule Hill as Gus. The lead James Rodale just comes across as brash.

    I must it is nice to see TV shows that debunk esp rather than giving the character super powers.

    I haven't seen The Mentalist, but I'll look for it now. I really enjoy Psych, and don't find the character of Shawn to be too brash. I love his (and Gus's) quick 80s pop culture references. It's also kind of fun to watch the show and then catch either an old episode of The West Wing, in which Dulé Hill practically looks like a baby in the role of Charlie, or a recent episode of Mad Men, in which Elisabeth "Zoey Bartlet" Moss is all grown up and not the sweet and innocent president's daughter that Charlie dated. :-)