Message added by william.scherk

One person whose opinions I wish we could consult right now is the founder of Objectivism. Having a cold eye on the Soviet Union, a cold eye for any unfree state, a cold eye for dictatorships, Ayn Rand would likely be able to add moral clarity to the 'debates' about Russia Russia Russia.

A  couple of folks here have contended that Rand would be enamoured of Donald Trump, a notion I find preposterous. But I could be very wrong.

What to learn about Russian goals when you don't really care [updated]


william.scherk

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One of the items I fish out of the general Russia Russia Russia hoopla is geopolitical strategy. In other words, setting aside the unproven allegations of the Trump-Russia 'collusion' grab-bag, and putting to one side the actual details of the "Russia hack" of the 2016 US presidential election -- leaving the residual "what is this administration's larger strategy with regard to Russia, its hopes and fears, its ambitions."

This is no easy task. The election campaign revealed just a few rules of thumb that a Trump administration would use in a new relationship. 

Each of us will have an impression of just what President Trump hopes to achieve in relation to Russia between now and 2020. For me, having studied utterances of Michael Flynn and the many Russia/Putin statements from the president, it is to "get along," to cooperate where it serves American interests, and perhaps to let Russia back in from the cold by removing sanctions where appropriate. In an sense, it is a desire to move the 'deep state' off its suspicious foundations in order to make a better partnership with the Eurasian nuclear power. 

(the 'deep state' I envision as the intersection of established policy [of the executive branch, including national security agencies] and law [from the legislature]; it is the entrenched state of affairs, the 'ship of state' -- a vehicle of praxis built up over time. The 'deep state' of course takes its orders not from a shadowy cartel, but from department policy as written, intelligence findings as transmitted, and law. Law as in the welter of official acts and regulations, eg, Magnitsky-related sanctions. The 'deep state' vehicle can be refitted and given new missions, but this takes time, time to install new commanders with clear mission statements, time to legislate and decree a change in direction, speed, goal and targets)

Having established their own briefs on facts and values, strategy and intelligence, law and practice, OLers might like me might have asked themselves the same set of questions -- not of the American 'vehicle' commanded by President Trump, but of the Russian ship of state.

What Russia wants.

-- that boring introduction done, here is a well-written analysis of Russian imperatives:

Russia’s Evolving Grand Eurasia Strategy: Will It Work?

NB: at 4200 words the article is not light reading.  But I suspect readers will be better able to answer the question "What is a proper Russia policy for the USA?" 

One person whose opinions I wish we could consult right now is the founder of Objectivism. Having a cold eye on the Soviet Union, a cold eye for any unfree state, a cold eye for dictatorships, Ayn Rand would likely be able to add moral clarity to the 'debates' about Russia Russia Russia.

A  couple of folks here have contended that Rand would be enamored of Donald Trump, a notion I find preposterous. But I could be very wrong.

[Spelling and grammar plotzes fixed Jan 10, 2018]

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22 minutes ago, william.scherk said:

Oh? That's kind of a passive construction.  When will he be replaced, by your reckoning?  And why would he be replaced?

William,

Deep State. Wray is a moderate Deep Stater (to coin a term).

I don't have a timeline, but going by pattern, if Wray keeps to "muh Russians" and does not get with President Trump's view of law and order applied equally to everyone, and foreign policy for that matter, I believe he will be replaced.

I see President Trump's tweet as a warning.

Michael

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On 9/17/2020 at 9:41 AM, william.scherk said:

What does Russia want? FBI Directory Wray has a few ideas ...

FBI Director Wray: "We certainly have seen very active, very active efforts by the Russians to influence our election in 2020...to both sow divisiveness and discord and...to denigrate Vice President Biden."

Today, another statement by the FBI director:

Christopher Wray: FBI has not seen evidence of national voter fraud effort by mail

Quote

FBI Director Christopher Wray responded to a question on the security of mail-in voting to the Senate Homeland Security Committee on Thursday by saying that the agency has "not seen, historically, any kind of coordinated national voter fraud effort in a major election, whether it's by mail or otherwise."

Why it matters: President Trump has ramped up his claims, without evidence, that widespread mail-in voting would rig the 2020 election against him. On Wednesday, after declining to say whether he would commit to a peaceful transition of power if he loses the election to Joe Biden, Trump said that "the ballots are out of control."

Via NBC:

That's not what notable election-security elitist Donald J Trump Junior thinks ...

Director Wray seems to be speaking directly to Junior ...

 

Insert C-SPAN video of Homeland Security committee hearing when/if it appears on the site.

Edited by william.scherk
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So in the history of nation wide mail in balloting , there has never been a discernibly coordinated effort to manipulate the count? As per Wray? ok,thats comforting.

Glad thing he is providing the population such information.

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10 minutes ago, tmj said:

the history of nation wide mail in balloting

What history of nation wide mail in balloting?  (You're being facetious, yes?)

Ellen

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I would think one would have to be, yes ?

16 minutes ago, Ellen Stuttle said:

What history of nation wide mail in balloting?  (You're being facetious, yes?)

Ellen

 

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So William's and Axios' "Why It Matters" box isn't one bit concerned the Director of the FBI would make that utterance before the US Senate and be met with .., what is the opposite of pushback?

I know, I know stay on topic , foreign adversary, foreign adversary muh foreign adversary

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Sure looks like they turned up the denigration machine to eleven. Just churning out baseless denigration , is there any other kind , really.

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William,

Why unexpected? President Trump has never been in business with the Russians.

So Putin is pissed he smears one of their own, even if it was with Biden.

This is only unexpected to people who think pigs fly and Russia elected Trump.

To everyone else, it's completely normal for a leader to try to save face.

Michael

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On 9/24/2020 at 9:29 AM, william.scherk said:
On 9/17/2020 at 9:41 AM, william.scherk said:

What does Russia want? FBI Directory Wray has a few ideas ...

FBI Director Wray: "We certainly have seen very active, very active efforts by the Russians to influence our election in 2020...to both sow divisiveness and discord and...to denigrate Vice President Biden."

Today, another statement by the FBI director:

Christopher Wray: FBI has not seen evidence of national voter fraud effort by mail

"When I am re-elected, I will finally unveil my Health Care Plan, but before that, I am going to fire all the people I appointed who are Moderate Deep State." Said nobody.

But here is Swann and Treene of Axios with another 'sources said' item:  Scoop: Trump's post-election execution list.

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On 9/24/2020 at 11:29 AM, william.scherk said:

Why "coordinated national" voter fraud? Is that all that they're looking for? They're okay with voter fraud on a less-than-national level? In Trump's criticisms of mass-mail voting, and his suspicions of Democrats' motivations, did he specify that he thought that it would only happen on a nationally coordinated level?

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