By Jeffrey Rogers Hummel and David R. Henderson
From the article:
QUOTE(Hummel and Henderson)
Many prognosticators on the economy blame the Federal Reserve for the current subprime crisis. But a careful look at the evidence shows that monetary policy, whatever its faults, did not cause the subprime mess.
These guys are libertarian thinkers.
It's good to see that not all people in our neck of the woods demonize Greenspan. I personally admire the guy.
Of course it set some libertarian blogs to spinning in overdrive. I even came across this because I subscribe to the Mises newsletter and there was an article by George Selgin dealing with this called Guilty as Charged. Although Selgin did not agree with Hummel and Henderson, he did make some intriguing statements:
QUOTE(Selgin)
David Henderson and Jeff Hummel have managed to ruffle quite a few Austrian feathers with their recent Cato briefing paper, and no wonder: that paper claims not only that Alan Greenspan's Fed was innocent of any role in encouraging the housing boom but that Greenspan had actually managed to do something Austrian monetary economists have long claimed to be impossible, namely, solve the monetary-central-planning problem.
. . .
David Henderson and Jeff Hummel deserve to be congratulated for their eloquent defense of Alan Greenspan. It is, I think, as compelling a defense as could be raised on his behalf. Why two anti-central-bank libertarians would bother to undertake such a defense—and a pro bono defense at that—is an interesting question that several bloggers have raised. Personally I have no doubt that they have done it because they sincerely believe Greenspan to be innocent, and that claims to the contrary are based on bad monetary analysis.
But whatever their purpose they've performed a valuable service not just to Greenspan himself but to monetary economics, for in putting Greenspan's actions in the most favorable possible light, they have posed a challenge to those of us who insist that a persistently sound central-banking policy is not only unlikely but beyond the ken of mere mortals, and that even the best of possible central bankers must eventually steer the economy he is piloting into disaster.
. . .
David Henderson and Jeff Hummel deserve to be congratulated for their eloquent defense of Alan Greenspan. It is, I think, as compelling a defense as could be raised on his behalf. Why two anti-central-bank libertarians would bother to undertake such a defense—and a pro bono defense at that—is an interesting question that several bloggers have raised. Personally I have no doubt that they have done it because they sincerely believe Greenspan to be innocent, and that claims to the contrary are based on bad monetary analysis.
But whatever their purpose they've performed a valuable service not just to Greenspan himself but to monetary economics, for in putting Greenspan's actions in the most favorable possible light, they have posed a challenge to those of us who insist that a persistently sound central-banking policy is not only unlikely but beyond the ken of mere mortals, and that even the best of possible central bankers must eventually steer the economy he is piloting into disaster.
I am passing over all the technical stuff in this post because my point is on scapegoating, not monetary theory. It's time for the scapegoating to stop and this is a refreshing contrast to a horrible scapegoating analysis by a recent ARI Op Ed:
The Maestro vs. the Market
By Alex Epstein and Yaron Brook
QUOTE(Epstein and Brook)
Alan Greenspan’s entire tenure at the Federal Reserve was one devoted to distorting market outcomes in the pervasively controlled financial markets, including the mortgage market. The Fed by its nature wields enormous power over the market as it dictates the money supply and interest rates, which in turn determine lending, borrowing, and bank leverage throughout the economy. Early in Greenspan’s tenure, some expected the onetime opponent of the Fed and supporter of a gold standard to minimize the Fed’s distortion of markets. Instead, Greenspan became our Manipulator-in-Chief, repeatedly inflating the money supply and artificially lowering interest rates to allegedly magnify prosperity.
. . .
Greenspan is entitled to change his mind, of course; but it is intellectually dishonest to pretend that the market he manipulated for 20 years was genuinely free.
. . .
But to listen to today’s Alan Greenspan talk about free markets is like listening to a Chinese censor talk about free speech.
. . .
Greenspan is entitled to change his mind, of course; but it is intellectually dishonest to pretend that the market he manipulated for 20 years was genuinely free.
. . .
But to listen to today’s Alan Greenspan talk about free markets is like listening to a Chinese censor talk about free speech.
Manipulator-in-Chief? Market he manipulated? Intellectually dishonest? Chinese censor?
Gimmee a break!
This crap shows an appalling lack of understanding of what the Fed does and how it functions in addition to the scapegoating. The oversimplifications in that Op Ed are embarrassing.
Getting back to the position taken by Hummel and Henderson, I am heartened to see some very knowledgeable economists of the free-market persuasion discussing these issues by looking at them from an angle that does not simply repeat slogans, ignore technology or scapegoat a single person.
I am convinced that globalization and informatics require some deep economic premise-checking, just like the information revolution on the Internet requires some deep intellectual property premise-checking. There are some new principles that need to be looked at, such as man-made abundance is man-made, but it is also abundance. Currently there is such a huge amount of abundance that it creates a context all its own, with its own nature. Also, instantaneous delivery mechanisms require instantaneous access to assets, and this demands a freer access than those stored with geographical limitations (i.e., physically), but by doing so, new assets are created exponentially. This goes for both information and capital.
This is not to say that private property no longer exists or anything of the sort. But property never had instantaneous delivery built into it before, so the nature of certain kinds of property is changing. The good news is that this creates real wealth in an enormous amount of abundance.
Anyway, this is a different discussion and a long one. Leave it to say that I believe that Greenspan managed to incorporate this new reality of informatics and abundance in his thinking, saw an opportunity to make a lasting difference, and did a brilliant job of implementing it in practical terms.
He was a pioneer.
Pioneers make mistakes and Greenspan was no exception. When dealing with enormous abundance with immediate access, a small mistake has enormous impact. (I believe encouraging too much credit on flimsy assets was one.) But pioneers also blaze trails. The trail Greenspan blazed is here to stay and we are all living with a huge amount of wealth we don't even acknowledge because of it. We just take it for granted as we pull out our plastic or punch in numbers to pay for stuff we never imagined possible 40 years ago except in science fiction.
So it is good to see intelligent free-market people starting to embark on this new path to see where it leads. The scapegoating and oversimplifying mentality will eventually be left behind as Greenspan's bountiful legacy becomes clearer to later generations. Still, it's an irritation to see primitive tribal attitudes flourishing under the banner of reason.
Michael
